Aywaille v Entité Manageoise prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

Aywaille 0–2 Entité Manageoise AYWAILLE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Aywaille win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.657

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Aywaille are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Aywaille 42%, draw 24%, Entité Manageoise 35%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Aywaille v Entité ManageoiseBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Aywaille win42%

Draw24%

Entité Manageoise win35%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundACFF · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Aywaille

Entité Manageoise

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
16	Entité Manageoise	8	−8	5
18	Aywaille	8	−15	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · aywaille winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Aywaille a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Aywaille v Entité Manageoise~~1.76 – 1.59

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 6 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 1 v 5~~18 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Aywaille win	42%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Entité Manageoise win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Aywaille or draw	65%	–	–
Aywaille clean sheet	21%	–	–
Entité Manageoise clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.3 5.2 4.5 2.4 1 5.8 10.2 7.6 4.0 2 5.5 8.4 6.5 3.5 3 3.2 4.9 3.9 2.1 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Aywaille down, Entité Manageoise across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,538 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 75 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Aywaille at home: 0.83 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Entité Manageoise away: 1.50 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.76 goals for Aywaille, 1.59 for Entité Manageoise. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~AYW 4–1 ENT · ENT 3–0 AYW · AYW 3–0 ENT · ENT 4–1 AYW

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 6 Sept

AYWAILLE

LLDLLL1–2 · 1–4 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 0–2

ENTITÉ MANAGEOISE

LDLLLW1–4 · 1–1 · 3–4 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	8	+9	18
2	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
3	Crossing Schaerbeek	8	+8	17
4	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	8	+4	16
5	Braine	8	+4	14
6	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
7	La Calamine	9	+2	13
8	AS Eupen II	8	+1	12
9	RUS Binche	8	−2	12
10	Stade Verviers	8	+4	11
11	Ostiches	9	−1	11
12	Richelle United	9	−2	11
13	Huy	8	−3	11
14	Acren-Lessines	8	+2	10
15	Stockay-Warfusée	8	−3	9
16	Entité Manageoise	8	−8	5
17	Union Namur	9	−14	5
18	Aywaille	8	−15	1