AS Eupen II v Stade Verviers prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

AS Eupen II 4–2 Stade Verviers STADE VERVIERS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Stade Verviers win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.779

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stade Verviers are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: AS Eupen II 29%, draw 24%, Stade Verviers 47%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on AS Eupen II v Stade VerviersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

AS Eupen II win29%

Draw24%

Stade Verviers win47%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundACFF · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AS Eupen II

Stade Verviers

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	AS Eupen II	8	+1	12
10	Stade Verviers	8	+4	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stade verviers winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Stade Verviers a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · AS Eupen II v Stade Verviers~~1.36 – 1.79

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 12 v 11~~8 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AS Eupen II win	29%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Stade Verviers win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
AS Eupen II or draw	53%	–	–
AS Eupen II clean sheet	18%	–	–
Stade Verviers clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.3 7.3 6.8 4.1 1 5.5 10.9 8.9 5.3 2.5 2 4.1 6.9 6.0 3.5 3 3.2 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AS Eupen II down, Stade Verviers across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,538 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 75 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

AS Eupen II at home: 1.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Stade Verviers away: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for AS Eupen II, 1.79 for Stade Verviers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~STA 2–0 ASE · ASE 0–2 STA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 5 Sept

AS EUPEN II

DWWLDL1–1 · 4–1 · 4–3 · 1–5 · 0–0 · 1–3

STADE VERVIERS

LWDDLL0–1 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 3–4 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	8	+9	18
2	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
3	Crossing Schaerbeek	8	+8	17
4	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	8	+4	16
5	Braine	8	+4	14
6	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
7	La Calamine	9	+2	13
8	AS Eupen II	8	+1	12
9	RUS Binche	8	−2	12
10	Stade Verviers	8	+4	11
11	Ostiches	9	−1	11
12	Richelle United	9	−2	11
13	Huy	8	−3	11
14	Acren-Lessines	8	+2	10
15	Stockay-Warfusée	8	−3	9
16	Entité Manageoise	8	−8	5
17	Union Namur	9	−14	5
18	Aywaille	8	−15	1