Acren-Lessines v Jette prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02

Acren-Lessines 1–1 Jette JETTE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Jette win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.894

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Jette just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Acren-Lessines 38%, draw 23%, Jette 39%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Acren-Lessines v JetteBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Acren-Lessines win38%

Draw23%

Jette win39%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundACFF · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Acren-Lessines

Jette

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

Last match: 10 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jette winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Jette a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Acren-Lessines v Jette~~1.77 – 1.79

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 6 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 18~~14 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Acren-Lessines win	38%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Jette win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Acren-Lessines or draw	61%	–	–
Acren-Lessines clean sheet	18%	–	–
Jette clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.6 4.7 4.6 2.7 1 4.8 9.4 7.8 4.6 2.1 2 4.6 7.8 6.8 4.0 3 2.7 4.6 4.0 2.4 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Acren-Lessines down, Jette across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,538 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 75 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.10 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Acren-Lessines at home: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Jette away: 2.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Acren-Lessines, 1.79 for Jette. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ACR 1–3 JET · JET 2–0 ACR · JET 0–3 ACR · ACR 0–1 JET

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 6 Sept

ACREN-LESSINES

DLLWWW1–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 2–0

JETTE

WWDWDW3–2 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	8	+9	18
2	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
3	Crossing Schaerbeek	8	+8	17
4	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	8	+4	16
5	Braine	8	+4	14
6	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
7	La Calamine	9	+2	13
8	AS Eupen II	8	+1	12
9	RUS Binche	8	−2	12
10	Stade Verviers	8	+4	11
11	Ostiches	9	−1	11
12	Richelle United	9	−2	11
13	Huy	8	−3	11
14	Acren-Lessines	8	+2	10
15	Stockay-Warfusée	8	−3	9
16	Entité Manageoise	8	−8	5
17	Union Namur	9	−14	5
18	Aywaille	8	−15	1