Westerlo U21 v RFC Seraing Reserve U21 prediction · Reserve Pro League

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 22:01

Westerlo U21 1–1 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 WESTERLO U21 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Westerlo U21 win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.954

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Westerlo U21 win at 47%.
1′Much as we predicted: Westerlo U21 was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–21–32
1′KICK-OFF Westerlo U21 v RFC Seraing Reserve U21
45′HALF-TIME Westerlo U21 0–0 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
46′SECOND HALF Westerlo U21 0–0 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
47′Westerlo U21 find the net on 47′. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–19–9
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Westerlo U21 1–0 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Westerlo U21 win: 47% at kick-off, 71% now
48′GOAL DISALLOWED · 48' Westerlo U21
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Westerlo U21 win: 47% at kick-off, 38% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Westerlo U21 win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
58′Westerlo U21 find the net on 57′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–19–7
58′We published Westerlo U21 at 47%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–19–7
58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Westerlo U21 1–0 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Westerlo U21 win: 47% at kick-off, 74% now
60′We published Westerlo U21 at 47%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Westerlo U21 win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
68′A goal for RFC Seraing Reserve U21 on 67′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–49–22
68′We said Westerlo U21 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–22
68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Westerlo U21 1–1 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Westerlo U21 win: 47% at kick-off, 29% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Westerlo U21 win 77%)
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Westerlo U21 win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
74′We said Westerlo U21 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–19
79′We said Westerlo U21 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–67–15
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Westerlo U21 win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
82′We said Westerlo U21 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12
87′We said Westerlo U21 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Westerlo U21 win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
92′We said Westerlo U21 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–3
FTFULL TIME Westerlo U21 1–1 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
FTWesterlo U21 1–1 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 · Westerlo U21 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Westerlo U21 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Westerlo U21 47%, draw 21%, RFC Seraing Reserve U21 32%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Westerlo U21 v RFC Seraing Reserve U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Westerlo U21 win47%

Draw21%

RFC Seraing Reserve U21 win32%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Westerlo U21

RFC Seraing Reserve U21

7Days since last match14

Last match: 16 Oct · Reserve Pro League

Last match: 9 Oct · Reserve Pro League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	4	+4	9
5	Westerlo U21	5	+3	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · westerlo u21 winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Westerlo U21 a 47% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Westerlo U21 v RFC Seraing Reserve U21~~2.05 – 1.66

~~Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug~~W3 D0 L2 · W3 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 9~~5 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Westerlo U21 win	47%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
RFC Seraing Reserve U21 win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Westerlo U21 or draw	68%	–	–
Westerlo U21 clean sheet	20%	–	–
RFC Seraing Reserve U21 clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.6 4.4 3.5 1 5.4 8.2 6.8 3.8 2 5.2 8.2 6.7 3.7 3 3.5 5.6 4.6 2.5 4 2.9 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Westerlo U21 down, RFC Seraing Reserve U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 749 Reserve Pro League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Reserve Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Westerlo U21 at home: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). RFC Seraing Reserve U21 away: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.05 goals for Westerlo U21, 1.66 for RFC Seraing Reserve U21. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~WES 2–1 RFC · RFC 2–4 WES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug

WESTERLO U21

WLWWL4–2 · 1–3 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–2

RFC SERAING RESERVE U21

WLWW2–1 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	5	+13	12
2	RAAL La Louviere U21	6	−1	11
3	Kortrijk U21	6	+3	10
4	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	4	+4	9
5	Westerlo U21	5	+3	9
6	RWDM U21	6	−3	8
7	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	5	+5	6
8	Francs Borains U21	5	−2	5
9	Lierse K. U21	5	−5	4
10	RFC de Liege U21	4	−6	4
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	5	−11	1