Waasland-Beveren U21 v Kortrijk U21 prediction · Reserve Pro League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Close to call, with Waasland-Beveren U21 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Waasland-Beveren U21 41%, draw 21%, Kortrijk U21 38%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Waasland-Beveren U21 v Kortrijk U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · postponed, not graded

Waasland-Beveren U21 win41%

Draw21%

Kortrijk U21 win38%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Waasland-Beveren U21

Kortrijk U21

7Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Reserve Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · waasland-beveren u21 winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · postponed, not graded

41% The market39%

Us41%

~~Market~~39%

We make Waasland-Beveren U21 a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.9–1.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Waasland-Beveren U21 v Kortrijk U21~~1.94 – 1.87

~~Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug~~W4 D0 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 10~~1 v 3

~~The market · Waasland-Beveren U21 win~~39% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Waasland-Beveren U21 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Waasland-Beveren U21 win	41%	39%	+2
Draw	21%	23%	−2
Kortrijk U21 win	38%	38%	0
Over 2.5 goals	73%	69%	+4
Both teams to score	71%	70%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	89%	87%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	52%	49%	+3
Waasland-Beveren U21 or draw	62%	62%	0
Waasland-Beveren U21 clean sheet	16%	–	–
Kortrijk U21 clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.9%

0123450 2.3 4.5 4.0 2.5 1 4.6 7.9 7.3 4.6 2.2 2 4.2 7.6 6.9 4.3 2.1 3 2.7 4.9 4.5 2.8 4 2.4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Waasland-Beveren U21 down, Kortrijk U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 749 Reserve Pro League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Reserve Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.22 goals a meeting; 5 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Waasland-Beveren U21 at home: 3.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Kortrijk U21 away: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Waasland-Beveren U21, 1.87 for Kortrijk U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.22

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 9

~~Both scored~~6 of 9

~~Last meetings~~WAA 2–4 KOR · KOR 1–1 WAA · WAA 3–3 KOR · KOR 1–3 WAA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug

WAASLAND-BEVEREN U21

LWWWW2–3 · 6–0 · 3–1 · 5–2 · 3–0

KORTRIJK U21

WLWWLD1–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	5	+13	12
2	RAAL La Louviere U21	6	−1	11
3	Kortrijk U21	6	+3	10
4	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	4	+4	9
5	Westerlo U21	5	+3	9
6	RWDM U21	6	−3	8
7	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	5	+5	6
8	Francs Borains U21	5	−2	5
9	Lierse K. U21	5	−5	4
10	RFC de Liege U21	4	−6	4
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	5	−11	1