Sp. Hasselt U21 v Westerlo U21 prediction · Reserve Pro League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sp. Hasselt U21DrawWesterlo U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Westerlo U21 62%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Westerlo U21 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sp. Hasselt U21 21%, draw 18%, Westerlo U21 62%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Sp. Hasselt U21 v Westerlo U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Sp. Hasselt U21 win21%

Draw18%

Westerlo U21 win62%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sp. Hasselt U21

Westerlo U21

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Reserve Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Westerlo U21	6	+3	10
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	6	−14	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · westerlo u21 winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Westerlo U21 a 62% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.6, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sp. Hasselt U21 v Westerlo U21~~1.45 – 2.60

~~Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 4 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 10~~11 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sp. Hasselt U21 win	21%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Westerlo U21 win	62%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	57%	–	–
Sp. Hasselt U21 or draw	38%	–	–
Sp. Hasselt U21 clean sheet	8%	–	–
Westerlo U21 clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.2%

0123450 4.9 6.0 5.1 3.3 1 2.8 6.6 8.2 6.9 4.5 2.52 4.8 5.9 4.9 3.2 3 2.3 2.9 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sp. Hasselt U21 down, Westerlo U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (93.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 752 Reserve Pro League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Reserve Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.2% of games this season, across 31 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Sp. Hasselt U21 at home: 1.67 scored, 4.00 conceded a game (last 3). Westerlo U21 away: 3.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Sp. Hasselt U21, 2.60 for Westerlo U21. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 4 Sept

SP. HASSELT U21

LLDLLL0–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–6 · 3–6

WESTERLO U21

WLWWLD4–2 · 1–3 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	5	+13	12
2	RAAL La Louviere U21	6	−1	11
3	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	5	+4	10
4	Westerlo U21	6	+3	10
5	Kortrijk U21	6	+3	10
6	RWDM U21	6	−3	8
7	Lierse K. U21	6	−2	7
8	RFC de Liege U21	5	−5	7
9	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	6	+4	6
10	Francs Borains U21	5	−2	5
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	6	−14	1