Sp. Hasselt U21 v RFC de Liege U21 prediction · Reserve Pro League

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · postponed

Sp. Hasselt U21 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sp. Hasselt U21 61%, draw 18%, RFC de Liege U21 21%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Sp. Hasselt U21 v RFC de Liege U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 15 Oct 02:30 · postponed, not graded

Sp. Hasselt U21 win61%

Draw18%

RFC de Liege U21 win21%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sp. Hasselt U21

RFC de Liege U21

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	RFC de Liege U21	4	-6	4
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	5	-11	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sp. hasselt u21 winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 15 Oct 02:30 · postponed, not graded

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Sp. Hasselt U21 a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sp. Hasselt U21 v RFC de Liege U21~~2.59 – 1.46

~~Last six in Reserve Pro League~~W0 D1 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 1 v 4~~11 v 9

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sp. Hasselt U21 win	61%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
RFC de Liege U21 win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	57%	–	–
Sp. Hasselt U21 or draw	79%	–	–
Sp. Hasselt U21 clean sheet	24%	–	–
RFC de Liege U21 clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.9 2.0 1 4.9 6.6 4.8 2.4 2 5.9 8.2 5.9 2.9 3 5.0 6.9 5.0 2.5 4 3.3 4.5 3.2 5 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Sp. Hasselt U21 down, RFC de Liege U21 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 745 Reserve Pro League matches up to 15 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Reserve Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sp. Hasselt U21 at home: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 2). RFC de Liege U21 away: 0.67 scored, 4.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.59 goals for Sp. Hasselt U21, 1.46 for RFC de Liege U21. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Reserve Pro League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Reserve Pro League

SP. HASSELT U21

LLDLL0–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–6

RFC DE LIEGE U21

LLLLWD0–3 · 0–7 · 1–2 · 0–6 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	4	10	9
2	Westerlo U21	4	4	9
3	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	4	4	9
4	Kortrijk U21	5	3	9
5	RWDM U21	5	0	8
6	RAAL La Louviere U21	5	-2	8
7	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	4	7	6
8	Francs Borains U21	4	-2	4
9	RFC de Liege U21	4	-6	4
10	Lierse K. U21	4	-7	1
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	5	-11	1