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Sp. Hasselt U21 v Lierse K. U21

Sp. Hasselt U21
3–6Full time
Lierse K. U21

Reserve Pro League · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 22:01
Sp. Hasselt U21 3–6 Lierse K. U21 SP. HASSELT U21 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sp. Hasselt U21 win40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.581

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay21 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sp. Hasselt U21 win at 40%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sp. Hasselt U21 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–21–39
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Sp. Hasselt U21 v Lierse K. U21
  4. 2′Lierse K. U21 find the net on 2′. 0–1. 0–1 · 21–19–60
  5. 2′We said Sp. Hasselt U21 at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–19–60
  6. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Sp. Hasselt U21 0–1 Lierse K. U21
  7. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, 21% now
  8. 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Lierse K. U21 win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Sp. Hasselt U21 win 40%)
  9. 7′A goal for Sp. Hasselt U21 on 7′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 39–22–38
  10. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
  11. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Sp. Hasselt U21 1–1 Lierse K. U21
  12. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, 39% now
  13. 21′Lierse K. U21 score on 21′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 18–20–62
  14. 21′We said Sp. Hasselt U21 at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–2 · 18–20–62
  15. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Sp. Hasselt U21 1–2 Lierse K. U21
  16. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, 18% now
  17. 26′Sp. Hasselt U21 find the net on 25′. 2–2. 2–2 · 37–26–36
  18. 26′⚽ GOAL · 25' Sp. Hasselt U21 2–2 Lierse K. U21
  19. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, 37% now
  20. 30′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 37–27–36
  21. 42′A goal for Sp. Hasselt U21 on 41′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 66–21–13
  22. 42′We said Sp. Hasselt U21 at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 3–2 · 66–21–13
  23. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Sp. Hasselt U21 3–2 Lierse K. U21
  24. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, 66% now
  25. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Sp. Hasselt U21 win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Lierse K. U21 win 62%)
  26. 43′5 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 66–21–12
  27. 45′HALF-TIME Sp. Hasselt U21 3–2 Lierse K. U21
  28. 46′SECOND HALF Sp. Hasselt U21 3–2 Lierse K. U21
  29. 51′Lierse K. U21 score on 51′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 32–36–32
  30. 51′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 32–36–32
  31. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Sp. Hasselt U21 3–3 Lierse K. U21
  32. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, 32% now
  33. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Sp. Hasselt U21 win 68%)
  34. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
  35. 62′We said Sp. Hasselt U21 at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 3–3 · 28–44–28
  36. 70′Lierse K. U21 find the net on 70′. 3–4. 3–4 · 5–19–76
  37. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Sp. Hasselt U21 3–4 Lierse K. U21
  38. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, 5% now
  39. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Lierse K. U21 win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 53%)
  40. 71′We said Sp. Hasselt U21 at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–4 · 4–19–77
  41. 71′7 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–4 · 4–19–77
  42. 73′A goal for Lierse K. U21 on 73′ — 3–5. 3–5 · 0–3–96
  43. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Sp. Hasselt U21 3–5 Lierse K. U21
  44. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Sp. Hasselt U21 win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
  45. 74′That is 8, and we only asked for 3.6 across ninety minutes. 3–5 · 0–3–97
  46. 85′Lierse K. U21 score on 84′ to make it 3–6. 3–6 · 0–0–100
  47. 85′9 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–6 · 0–0–100
  48. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Sp. Hasselt U21 3–6 Lierse K. U21
  49. FTFULL TIME Sp. Hasselt U21 3–6 Lierse K. U21
  50. FTSp. Hasselt U21 3–6 Lierse K. U21 · Sp. Hasselt U21 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Sp. Hasselt U21 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Sp. Hasselt U21 40%, draw 21%, Lierse K. U21 39%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Sp. Hasselt U21 v Lierse K. U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sp. Hasselt U21 win40%
Draw21%
Lierse K. U21 win39%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sp. Hasselt U21

Lierse K. U21

14Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Reserve Pro League

Last match: 16 Oct · Reserve Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Lierse K. U215−54
11Sp. Hasselt U215−111

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sp. hasselt u21 winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Sp. Hasselt U21 a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sp. Hasselt U21 v Lierse K. U211.82 – 1.78
Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 AugW0 D1 L4 · W1 D1 L3
Table places · points 1 v 411 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sp. Hasselt U21 win40%––
Draw21%––
Lierse K. U21 win39%––
Over 2.5 goals69%––
Both teams to score68%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals48%––
Sp. Hasselt U21 or draw61%––
Sp. Hasselt U21 clean sheet18%––
Lierse K. U21 clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.6%
0123450 2.9 5.3 4.4 2.7 1 5.4 8.6 7.6 4.5 2.1 2 4.6 7.7 6.7 4.0 3 2.8 4.7 4.1 2.4 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sp. Hasselt U21 down, Lierse K. U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug

SP. HASSELT U21

LLDLL0–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–6

LIERSE K. U21

LDLLW0–3 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Waasland-Beveren U215+1312
2RAAL La Louviere U216−111
3Kortrijk U216+310
4RFC Seraing Reserve U214+49
5Westerlo U215+39
6RWDM U216−38
7K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U215+56
8Francs Borains U215−25
9Lierse K. U215−54
10RFC de Liege U214−64
11Sp. Hasselt U215−111

The competition's standings before kick-off.