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RWDM U21 v Waasland-Beveren U21

RWDM U21

0–3Full time

Waasland-Beveren U21

Reserve Pro League · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:30

RWDM U21 0–3 Waasland-Beveren U21 WAASLAND-BEVEREN U21 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Waasland-Beveren U21 win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.513

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Waasland-Beveren U21 win at 42%.
1′Much as we predicted: Waasland-Beveren U21 was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 37–21–42
1′KICK-OFF RWDM U21 v Waasland-Beveren U21
13′Waasland-Beveren U21 find the net on 12′. 0–1. 0–1 · 17–18–64
13′⚽ GOAL · 12' RWDM U21 0–1 Waasland-Beveren U21
13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Waasland-Beveren U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 64% now
14′We published Waasland-Beveren U21 at 42%. Our model now makes it 64%. 0–1 · 17–19–64
19′We published Waasland-Beveren U21 at 42%. Our model now makes it 65%. 0–1 · 17–19–65
30′Goals are coming at about the 3.8 we expected. 0–1 · 15–20–66
45′HALF-TIME RWDM U21 0–1 Waasland-Beveren U21
46′SECOND HALF RWDM U21 0–1 Waasland-Beveren U21
54′We published Waasland-Beveren U21 at 42%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Waasland-Beveren U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
62′A goal for RWDM U21 on 62′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 28–42–30
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' RWDM U21 1–1 Waasland-Beveren U21
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Waasland-Beveren U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 30% now
62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Waasland-Beveren U21 win 30%)
63′We said Waasland-Beveren U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 27–43–30
63′GOAL DISALLOWED · 63' RWDM U21
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Waasland-Beveren U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 73% now
63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Waasland-Beveren U21 win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 21%)
67′We published Waasland-Beveren U21 at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
68′We said Waasland-Beveren U21 at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 25–48–27
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' RWDM U21 1–1 Waasland-Beveren U21
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Waasland-Beveren U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 27% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Waasland-Beveren U21 win 27%)
69′GOAL DISALLOWED · 69' RWDM U21
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Waasland-Beveren U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 76% now
69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Waasland-Beveren U21 win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
72′A goal for Waasland-Beveren U21 on 71′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–96
72′We published Waasland-Beveren U21 at 42%. Our model now makes it 96%. 0–2 · 0–3–96
72′⚽ GOAL · 71' RWDM U21 0–2 Waasland-Beveren U21
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Waasland-Beveren U21 win: 42% at kick-off, 96% now
86′We published Waasland-Beveren U21 at 42%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
90′Waasland-Beveren U21 score on 90′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' RWDM U21 0–3 Waasland-Beveren U21
FTFULL TIME RWDM U21 0–3 Waasland-Beveren U21
FTRWDM U21 0–3 Waasland-Beveren U21 · Waasland-Beveren U21 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Waasland-Beveren U21 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: RWDM U21 37%, draw 21%, Waasland-Beveren U21 42%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on RWDM U21 v Waasland-Beveren U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

RWDM U21 win37%

Draw21%

Waasland-Beveren U21 win42%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RWDM U21

Waasland-Beveren U21

7Days since last match28

Last match: 9 Oct · Reserve Pro League

Last match: 18 Sept · Reserve Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · waasland-beveren u21 winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Waasland-Beveren U21 a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · RWDM U21 v Waasland-Beveren U21~~1.85 – 1.99

~~Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug~~W2 D2 L1 · W3 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 9~~5 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
RWDM U21 win	37%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Waasland-Beveren U21 win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
RWDM U21 or draw	58%	–	–
RWDM U21 clean sheet	15%	–	–
Waasland-Beveren U21 clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.8%

0123450 2.3 4.6 4.4 2.9 1 4.4 7.8 7.6 5.0 2.6 2 3.8 7.2 6.9 4.5 2.3 3 2.4 4.4 4.2 2.8 4 2.1 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+RWDM U21 down, Waasland-Beveren U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 745 Reserve Pro League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Reserve Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.33 goals a meeting; 7 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

RWDM U21 at home: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Waasland-Beveren U21 away: 3.17 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for RWDM U21, 1.99 for Waasland-Beveren U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.33

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 9

~~Both scored~~7 of 9

~~Last meetings~~WAA 2–1 RWD · RWD 2–0 WAA · RWD 3–3 WAA · WAA 8–1 RWD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug

RWDM U21

WWDLD1–0 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 1–1

WAASLAND-BEVEREN U21

LWWW2–3 · 6–0 · 3–1 · 5–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	4	+10	9
2	Westerlo U21	4	+4	9
3	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	4	+4	9
4	Kortrijk U21	5	+3	9
5	RWDM U21	5	0	8
6	RAAL La Louviere U21	5	−2	8
7	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	4	+7	6
8	Francs Borains U21	4	−2	4
9	RFC de Liege U21	4	−6	4
10	Lierse K. U21	4	−7	1
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	5	−11	1