RFC de Liege U21 v RWDM U21 prediction · Reserve Pro League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RFC de Liege U21DrawRWDM U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · RWDM U21 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

RWDM U21 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: RFC de Liege U21 21%, draw 18%, RWDM U21 61%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on RFC de Liege U21 v RWDM U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

RFC de Liege U21 win21%

Draw18%

RWDM U21 win61%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RFC de Liege U21

RWDM U21

7Days since last match14

Last match: 23 Oct · Reserve Pro League

Last match: 16 Oct · Reserve Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	RWDM U21	6	−3	8
8	RFC de Liege U21	5	−5	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rwdm u21 winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make RWDM U21 a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · RFC de Liege U21 v RWDM U21~~1.44 – 2.53

~~Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug~~W2 D1 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 8~~8 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
RFC de Liege U21 win	21%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
RWDM U21 win	61%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
RFC de Liege U21 or draw	39%	–	–
RFC de Liege U21 clean sheet	9%	–	–
RWDM U21 clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.4%

0123450 2.0 5.1 6.1 5.1 3.3 1 3.0 6.8 8.4 6.9 4.4 2.32 2.1 4.9 6.0 4.9 3.1 3 2.4 2.9 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+RFC de Liege U21 down, RWDM U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (94.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 752 Reserve Pro League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Reserve Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.2% of games this season, across 31 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.14 goals a meeting; 5 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

RFC de Liege U21 at home: 1.00 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). RWDM U21 away: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for RFC de Liege U21, 2.53 for RWDM U21. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.14

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 7

~~Both scored~~3 of 7

~~Last meetings~~RWD 4–0 RFC · RFC 0–3 RWD · RFC 2–3 RWD · RWD 0–2 RFC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug

RFC DE LIEGE U21

LLWDW1–2 · 0–6 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–1

RWDM U21

WWDLDL1–0 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	5	+13	12
2	RAAL La Louviere U21	6	−1	11
3	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	5	+4	10
4	Westerlo U21	6	+3	10
5	Kortrijk U21	6	+3	10
6	RWDM U21	6	−3	8
7	Lierse K. U21	6	−2	7
8	RFC de Liege U21	5	−5	7
9	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	6	+4	6
10	Francs Borains U21	5	−2	5
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	6	−14	1