Home › Football › Reserve Pro League › RFC de Liege U21 v K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21

RFC de Liege U21 v K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21

RFC de Liege U21

2–1Full time

K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21

Reserve Pro League · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 21:33

RFC de Liege U21 2–1 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 K. BEERSCHOT V.A. RESERVE U21 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win~~61%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.019

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win at 61%.
1′Much as we predicted: K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 22–17–61
1′KICK-OFF RFC de Liege U21 v K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21
31′A goal for RFC de Liege U21 on 31′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 45–23–32
31′We said K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–0 · 45–23–32
31′⚽ GOAL · 31' RFC de Liege U21 1–0 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win: 61% at kick-off, 32% now
31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' RFC de Liege U21 win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win 55%)
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
36′We said K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 47–24–29
45′HALF-TIME RFC de Liege U21 1–0 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21
46′We said K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 50–26–24
46′SECOND HALF RFC de Liege U21 1–0 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
55′We said K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 54–27–19
63′We said K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 59–27–14
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
71′We said K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 66–25–9
73′K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 score on 73′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 17–51–32
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' RFC de Liege U21 1–1 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win: 61% at kick-off, 32% now
73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was RFC de Liege U21 win 67%)
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
92′RFC de Liege U21 find the net on 90′. 2–1. 2–1 · 94–6–0
92′We said K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 2–1 · 94–6–0
92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' RFC de Liege U21 2–1 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21
92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win: 61% at kick-off, under 1% now
92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' RFC de Liege U21 win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 91%)
FTFULL TIME RFC de Liege U21 2–1 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21
FTRFC de Liege U21 2–1 K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 · K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: RFC de Liege U21 22%, draw 17%, K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 61%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on RFC de Liege U21 v K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

RFC de Liege U21 win22%

Draw17%

K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win61%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RFC de Liege U21

K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21

14Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Reserve Pro League

Last match: 16 Oct · Reserve Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	5	+5	6
10	RFC de Liege U21	4	−6	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · k. beerschot v.a. reserve u21 winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–2.8, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · RFC de Liege U21 v K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21~~1.59 – 2.76

~~Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug~~W1 D1 L2 · W2 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 4 v 6~~10 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
RFC de Liege U21 win	22%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win	61%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
RFC de Liege U21 or draw	39%	–	–
RFC de Liege U21 clean sheet	7%	–	–
K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.5%

0123450 3.9 5.0 4.5 3.1 1 2.3 5.7 7.5 6.7 4.7 2.72 4.6 5.9 5.3 3.6 2.03 2.5 3.2 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+RFC de Liege U21 down, K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (92.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 749 Reserve Pro League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Reserve Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 8.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

RFC de Liege U21 at home: 0.67 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 away: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for RFC de Liege U21, 2.76 for K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~8.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KBE 4–3 RFC · RFC 4–6 KBE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug

RFC DE LIEGE U21

LLWD1–2 · 0–6 · 1–0 · 1–1

K. BEERSCHOT V.A. RESERVE U21

LLWWL0–1 · 0–1 · 4–0 · 6–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	5	+13	12
2	RAAL La Louviere U21	6	−1	11
3	Kortrijk U21	6	+3	10
4	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	4	+4	9
5	Westerlo U21	5	+3	9
6	RWDM U21	6	−3	8
7	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	5	+5	6
8	Francs Borains U21	5	−2	5
9	Lierse K. U21	5	−5	4
10	RFC de Liege U21	4	−6	4
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	5	−11	1