RAAL La Louviere U21 v Lierse K. U21 prediction · Reserve Pro League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RAAL La Louviere U21DrawLierse K. U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30

Before kick-off · Match result · RAAL La Louviere U21 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

RAAL La Louviere U21 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: RAAL La Louviere U21 54%, draw 19%, Lierse K. U21 27%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on RAAL La Louviere U21 v Lierse K. U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

RAAL La Louviere U21 win54%

Draw19%

Lierse K. U21 win27%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RAAL La Louviere U21

Lierse K. U21

14Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Reserve Pro League

Last match: 23 Oct · Reserve Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	RAAL La Louviere U21	6	−1	11
7	Lierse K. U21	6	−2	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · raal la louviere u21 winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make RAAL La Louviere U21 a 54% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · RAAL La Louviere U21 v Lierse K. U21~~2.30 – 1.59

~~Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 11 v 7~~2 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
RAAL La Louviere U21 win	54%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Lierse K. U21 win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
RAAL La Louviere U21 or draw	73%	–	–
RAAL La Louviere U21 clean sheet	21%	–	–
Lierse K. U21 clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.3%

0123450 2.2 3.5 2.7 1 5.0 7.4 5.8 3.1 2 5.5 8.3 6.5 3.5 3 4.2 6.3 4.9 2.6 4 2.4 3.7 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+RAAL La Louviere U21 down, Lierse K. U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 752 Reserve Pro League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Reserve Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.2% of games this season, across 31 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.40 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

RAAL La Louviere U21 at home: 2.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Lierse K. U21 away: 2.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.30 goals for RAAL La Louviere U21, 1.59 for Lierse K. U21. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~RAA 3–2 LIE · LIE 1–3 RAA · RAA 1–1 LIE · LIE 0–0 RAA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug

RAAL LA LOUVIERE U21

WWLDDW3–2 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

LIERSE K. U21

LDLLWW0–3 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 6–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	5	+13	12
2	RAAL La Louviere U21	6	−1	11
3	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	5	+4	10
4	Westerlo U21	6	+3	10
5	Kortrijk U21	6	+3	10
6	RWDM U21	6	−3	8
7	Lierse K. U21	6	−2	7
8	RFC de Liege U21	5	−5	7
9	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	6	+4	6
10	Francs Borains U21	5	−2	5
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	6	−14	1