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Kortrijk U21 v Francs Borains U21

Kortrijk U21
3–3Full time
Francs Borains U21

Reserve Pro League · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 22:01
Kortrijk U21 3–3 Francs Borains U21 KORTRIJK U21 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kortrijk U21 win85%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.556

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay21 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kortrijk U21 win at 85%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kortrijk U21 85% before kick-off, 86% now. 0–0 · 86–9–6
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Kortrijk U21 v Francs Borains U21
  4. 20′A goal for Francs Borains U21 on 19′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 63–19–19
  5. 20′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 63%. 0–1 · 63–19–19
  6. 20′⚽ GOAL · 19' Kortrijk U21 0–1 Francs Borains U21
  7. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 63% now
  8. 26′Kortrijk U21 score on 26′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 79–13–8
  9. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Kortrijk U21 1–1 Francs Borains U21
  10. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 79% now
  11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 4.9 we expected. 1–1 · 78–14–8
  12. 34′Francs Borains U21 find the net on 33′. 1–2. 1–2 · 54–23–24
  13. 34′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–2 · 54–23–24
  14. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Kortrijk U21 1–2 Francs Borains U21
  15. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 54% now
  16. 40′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–2 · 49–25–26
  17. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 45% now
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Kortrijk U21 1–2 Francs Borains U21
  19. 46′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–2 · 44–27–29
  20. 46′SECOND HALF Kortrijk U21 1–2 Francs Borains U21
  21. 51′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–2 · 39–28–32
  22. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 35% now
  23. 56′A goal for Kortrijk U21 on 55′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 64–26–10
  24. 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Kortrijk U21 2–2 Francs Borains U21
  25. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 64% now
  26. 63′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 58%. 2–2 · 58–32–10
  27. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 55% now
  28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 45% now
  29. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Kortrijk U21 win 42%)
  30. 77′Francs Borains U21 score on 77′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 10–29–62
  31. 77′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 2–3 · 10–29–62
  32. 77′5 goals already, more than the 4.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 10–29–62
  33. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Kortrijk U21 2–3 Francs Borains U21
  34. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 10% now
  35. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Francs Borains U21 win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Draw 29%)
  36. 78′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–3 · 9–28–64
  37. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 5% now
  38. 82′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–3 · 4–23–73
  39. 82′Kortrijk U21 find the net on 82′. 3–3. 3–3 · 27–67–6
  40. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Kortrijk U21 3–3 Francs Borains U21
  41. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 27% now
  42. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Francs Borains U21 win 6%)
  43. 83′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 3–3 · 24–70–6
  44. 83′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.9 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 24–70–6
  45. 86′We said Kortrijk U21 at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 3–3 · 18–77–5
  46. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Kortrijk U21 win: 85% at kick-off, 15% now
  47. FTFULL TIME Kortrijk U21 3–3 Francs Borains U21
  48. FTKortrijk U21 3–3 Francs Borains U21 · Kortrijk U21 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kortrijk U21 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kortrijk U21 85%, draw 9%, Francs Borains U21 6%. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Kortrijk U21 v Francs Borains U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Kortrijk U21 win85%
Draw9%
Francs Borains U21 win6%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kortrijk U21

Francs Borains U21

7Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Reserve Pro League

Last match: 9 Oct · Reserve Pro League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Kortrijk U215+39
8Francs Borains U214−24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kortrijk u21 winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
85% The market–
Us85%

We make Kortrijk U21 an 85% chance to win. The model expects 3.9–1.1, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kortrijk U21 v Francs Borains U213.88 – 1.05
Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 AugW3 D0 L2 · W1 D1 L2
Table places · points 9 v 44 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kortrijk U21 win85%––
Draw9%––
Francs Borains U21 win6%––
Over 2.5 goals86%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals95%––
Over 3.5 goals71%––
Kortrijk U21 or draw94%––
Kortrijk U21 clean sheet36%––
Francs Borains U21 clean sheet2%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.1%
0123450 1 3.2 3.1 2 5.6 5.8 3.1 3 6.9 7.1 3.7 4 6.5 6.7 3.5 5 5.1 5.1 2.7
under 2% 5% 12%+Kortrijk U21 down, Francs Borains U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (79.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsKOR 8–2 FRA · FRA 1–1 KOR · FRA 2–3 KOR · KOR 3–0 FRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Reserve Pro League this season · since 28 Aug

KORTRIJK U21

WLWWL1–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 1–2

FRANCS BORAINS U21

WLLD3–0 · 2–4 · 2–5 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Waasland-Beveren U214+109
2Westerlo U214+49
3RFC Seraing Reserve U214+49
4Kortrijk U215+39
5RWDM U21508
6RAAL La Louviere U215−28
7K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U214+76
8Francs Borains U214−24
9RFC de Liege U214−64
10Lierse K. U214−71
11Sp. Hasselt U215−111

The competition's standings before kick-off.