Home › Football › Reserve Pro League › Francs Borains U21 v RWDM U21

Francs Borains U21 v RWDM U21

Francs Borains U21

1–1Full time

RWDM U21

Reserve Pro League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 22:00

Francs Borains U21 1–1 RWDM U21 RWDM U21 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said RWDM U21 win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.098

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 6 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said RWDM U21 win at 60%.
1′KICK-OFF Francs Borains U21 v RWDM U21
2′Little has changed for our model: RWDM U21 60% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 22–18–60
15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Francs Borains U21 0–1 RWDM U21
17′RWDM U21 find the net on 15′. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–13–77
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' RWDM U21 win: 60% at kick-off, 77% now
21′We said RWDM U21 at 60% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 0–1 · 9–14–77
45′HALF-TIME Francs Borains U21 0–1 RWDM U21
46′SECOND HALF Francs Borains U21 0–1 RWDM U21
54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Francs Borains U21 1–1 RWDM U21
FTFrancs Borains U21 1–1 RWDM U21 · RWDM U21 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Francs Borains U21 win23%

Draw17%

RWDM U21 win60%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rwdm u21 winPublished 9 Oct 19:34

60% The market–

Us60%

We make RWDM U21 a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.7, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Francs Borains U21 win	23%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
RWDM U21 win	60%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	74%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	63%	–	–
Francs Borains U21 or draw	40%	–	–
Francs Borains U21 clean sheet	7%	–	–
RWDM U21 clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.4%

0123450 3.7 4.7 4.2 2.9 1 2.4 5.6 7.4 6.6 4.5 2.52 4.7 6.1 5.4 3.7 2.13 2.7 3.4 3.0 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Francs Borains U21 down, RWDM U21 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 740 Reserve Pro League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Reserve Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Francs Borains U21 at home: 2.00 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). RWDM U21 away: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Francs Borains U21, 2.73 for RWDM U21. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~RWD 4–2 FRA · FRA 0–4 RWD · RWD 5–0 FRA · FRA 0–1 RWD

Form · last six in Reserve Pro League

FRANCS BORAINS U21

LLLWLL2–3 · 1–5 · 2–5 · 3–0 · 2–4 · 2–5

RWDM U21

DWWWDL1–1 · 5–3 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Waasland-Beveren U21	4	+10	9
2	Kortrijk U21	4	+4	9
3	RWDM U21	4	0	7
4	RAAL La Louviere U21	4	−2	7
5	Westerlo U21	3	+3	6
6	RFC Seraing Reserve U21	3	+2	6
7	K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21	3	+2	3
8	Francs Borains U21	3	−2	3
9	RFC de Liege U21	3	−6	3
10	Lierse K. U21	3	−5	1
11	Sp. Hasselt U21	4	−6	1