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RAAL La Louvière v Club Brugge KV

RAAL La Louvière

1–4Full time

Club Brugge KV

Jupiler Pro League · SAT 10 OCT · Easi Arena

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

RAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge KV CLUB BRUGGE KV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Club Brugge KV win~~66%

~~The market said~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.174

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.139

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 37 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Club Brugge KV win at 66%.
1′Much as we predicted: Club Brugge KV was 66% before kick-off and our model makes it 67% now. 0–0 · 14–19–67
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' RAAL La Louvière 0–1 Club Brugge KV
33′⚽ GOAL · 34' RAAL La Louvière 0–1 Club Brugge KV · H. Vetlesen
34′Club Brugge KV ahead on 34′ through H. Vetlesen. 0–1. 0–1 · 4–12–85
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 85% now
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 58% now
36′Club Brugge KV ahead on 34′ through H. Vetlesen. 0–1. 0–1 · 3–12–85
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 58% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 85% now
38′🟨 YELLOW · 39' M. Courcoul · RAAL La Louvière
40′We published Club Brugge KV at 66%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 3–12–85
41′We published Club Brugge KV at 66%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 3–12–85
43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Y. Okou · RAAL La Louvière
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' RAAL La Louvière 0–2 Club Brugge KV · H. Vetlesen
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' RAAL La Louvière 0–2 Club Brugge KV · J. Virgili
45′SECOND HALF RAAL La Louvière 0–2 Club Brugge KV
45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' RAAL La Louvière · On: Z. Gruber · Off: E. Filet
46′J. Virgili scores for Club Brugge KV on 45′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–97
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 97% now
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 85% now
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 97% now
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 85% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 97% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 85% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 85% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Club Brugge KV win: 66% at kick-off, 97% now
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' RAAL La Louvière 0–3 Club Brugge KV · J. Virgili
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' RAAL La Louvière 0–3 Club Brugge KV · N. Tresoldi
58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Club Brugge KV · On: F. Lemarechal · Off: C. Forbs
58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Club Brugge KV · On: H. Siquet · Off: K. Sabbe
62′SUBSTITUTION · 63' RAAL La Louvière · On: A. Tajaouart · Off: M. Courcoul
62′SUBSTITUTION · 63' RAAL La Louvière · On: I. Coulibaly · Off: J. Ito
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' RAAL La Louvière 1–3 Club Brugge KV · N. Tresoldi
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' RAAL La Louvière 1–3 Club Brugge KV · N. Gillot
65′🟨 YELLOW · 66' I. Coulibaly · RAAL La Louvière
80′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Club Brugge KV · On: C. Tsawa · Off: H. Vetlesen
81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Club Brugge KV · On: R. Vermant · Off: N. Tresoldi
81′SUBSTITUTION · 82' RAAL La Louvière · On: L. Rousseau · Off: M. Isah
86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' RAAL La Louvière · On: T. Lutonda · Off: N. Gillot
86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Club Brugge KV · On: T. N. Koren · Off: J. Virgili
94′⚽ GOAL · 94' RAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge KV · N. Gillot
94′⚽ GOAL · 95' RAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge KV · F. Lemarechal
FTFULL TIME RAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge KV
FTRAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge KV · Club Brugge KV win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

RAAL La Louvière win14%

Draw20%

Club Brugge KV win66%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:15

Venue · Easi Arena

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

RAAL La Louvière

5-3-2

21 M. Peano

3 N. Gillot

33 P. Nkoa

99 Y. Okou

25 D. Lamego

18 S. Delos

29 M. Courcoul

10 M. Wade

23 J. Ito

9 E. Filet

11 M. Isah

Coach · Edward Still

Substitutes

91 · T. Radelet

22 · S. Gourville

5 · T. Lutonda

4 · W. Faye

44 · M. Boukamir

48 · I. Coulibaly

78 · A. Tajaouart

30 · Z. Gruber

90 · L. Rousseau

Club Brugge KV

4-2-3-1

1 Y. Sommer

64 K. Sabbe

58 J. Spileers

44 B. Mechele

65 J. Seys

8 F. Potts

20 H. Vanaken

9 C. Forbs

10 H. Vetlesen

11 J. Virgili

7 N. Tresoldi

Coach · Ivan Leko

Substitutes

29 · N. Jackers

41 · H. Siquet

3 · Lee Han-Beom

32 · M. Dams

16 · C. Tsawa

85 · T. N. Koren

80 · F. Lemarechal

17 · R. Vermant

67 · M. Diakhon

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

RAAL La Louvière

5-3-2

21 M. Peano

3 N. Gillot

33 P. Nkoa

99 Y. Okou

25 D. Lamego

18 S. Delos

29 M. Courcoul

10 M. Wade

23 J. Ito

9 E. Filet

11 M. Isah

Coach · Edward Still

Substitutes

91 · T. Radelet

22 · S. Gourville

5 · T. Lutonda

4 · W. Faye

44 · M. Boukamir

48 · I. Coulibaly

78 · A. Tajaouart

30 · Z. Gruber

90 · L. Rousseau

Club Brugge KV

4-2-3-1

1 Y. Sommer

64 K. Sabbe

58 J. Spileers

44 B. Mechele

65 J. Seys

8 F. Potts

20 H. Vanaken

9 C. Forbs

10 H. Vetlesen

11 J. Virgili

7 N. Tresoldi

Coach · Ivan Leko

Substitutes

29 · N. Jackers

41 · H. Siquet

3 · Lee Han-Beom

32 · M. Dams

16 · C. Tsawa

85 · T. N. Koren

80 · F. Lemarechal

17 · R. Vermant

67 · M. Diakhon

Our number · club brugge kv winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

66% The market70%

Us66%

~~Market~~70%

We make Club Brugge KV a 66% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–2.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · club brugge kv win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 67% to 70% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
RAAL La Louvière win	14%	12%	+2
Draw	20%	18%	+1
Club Brugge KV win	66%	70%	−4
Over 2.5 goals	60%	62%	−1
Both teams to score	53%	53%	0
Over 1.5 goals	82%	82%	0
Over 3.5 goals	38%	41%	−3
RAAL La Louvière or draw	34%	30%	+4
RAAL La Louvière clean sheet	11%	–	–
Club Brugge KV clean sheet	41%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 10.6%

0123450 5.0 9.3 10.6 7.9 4.5 2.11 3.7 9.2 9.5 6.9 3.9 2 4.1 4.4 3.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+RAAL La Louvière down, Club Brugge KV across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,675 Jupiler Pro League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Jupiler Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.9% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

RAAL La Louvière at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Club Brugge KV away: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.91 goals for RAAL La Louvière, 2.22 for Club Brugge KV. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CLU 2–3 RAA · RAA 1–0 CLU

Form · last six in Jupiler Pro League

RAAL LA LOUVIÈRE

LLDLWL1–2 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 0–4 · 3–0 · 0–2

CLUB BRUGGE KV

WWLWWW3–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	+18	19
2	Gent	7	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	+1	11
8	Lommel United	8	0	11
9	KVC Westerlo	7	−1	10
10	Genk	7	+1	9
11	SK Beveren	8	−6	9
12	St. Truiden	7	0	8
13	Antwerp	7	−4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	−7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	−8	4
16	Cercle Brugge	7	−6	3
17	KV Mechelen	7	−9	3
18	Kortrijk	7	−13	3