KVC Westerlo v SK Beveren prediction · Jupiler Pro League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

KVC Westerlo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: KVC Westerlo 57%, draw 22%, SK Beveren 22%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on KVC Westerlo v SK BeverenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

KVC Westerlo win57%

Draw22%

SK Beveren win22%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 9

VenueHet Kuipje

RefereeA. Letellier

Line-ups

KVC Westerlo

4-2-3-1

SK Beveren

4-1-3-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

KVC Westerlo

SK Beveren

8Days since last match8

Last match: 16 Oct · the Belgian Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	KVC Westerlo	8	+3	13
11	SK Beveren	8	−6	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

KVC Westerlo

4-2-3-1

99 Andreas Jungdal

2 Lasse Flø

5 Seiji Kimura

4 Amando Lapage

28 Dylan Ourega

45 Ibrahim Fofana

14 Cisse Sandra

11 Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni

13 Isa Sakamoto

7 Shunsuke Saito

9 Norman Bassette

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · Bill Lathouwers

88 · Fabio Ferraro

40 · Botond Balogh

47 · Yang Min-hyeok

26 · Pape Diong

12 · Reda Laalaoui

39 · Thomas Van den Keybus

17 · David Amegnaglo

22 · Felix Tsimba

SK Beveren

4-1-3-2

1 Johannes Schenk

21 Laurent Jans

3 Viktor Boone

31 Bruno Godeau

4 Christophe Janssens

18 Sieben Dewaele

44 Cheick Oumar Condé

24 Arno Verschueren

17 Jearl Margaritha

22 Christian Brüls

9 Moise Kaboré

Coach · –

Substitutes

84 · Josua Lusamba Tshiolola

25 · Cheick Oumar Konaté

35 · Yoni Gomis

2 · Dominic Thompson

48 · Jannik Thomas Robatsch

5 · Chris Lokesa

8 · Ferre Slegers

92 · Lennart Mertens

33 · Victor Olatunji

Our number · kvc westerlo winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

57% The market52%

Us57%

~~Market~~52%

We make KVC Westerlo a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · KVC Westerlo v SK Beveren~~2.12 – 1.24

~~Form · last six in Jupiler Pro League this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 13 v 9~~6 v 11

~~The market · KVC Westerlo win~~52% · ours 57%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · KVC Westerlo win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
KVC Westerlo win	57%	52%	+5
Draw	22%	24%	−2
SK Beveren win	22%	24%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	64%	63%	+1
Both teams to score	62%	63%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	85%	83%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	43%	43%	0
KVC Westerlo or draw	78%	76%	+2
KVC Westerlo clean sheet	30%	–	–
SK Beveren clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.2 4.1 2.8 1 7.1 9.6 5.6 2.4 2 7.7 9.3 5.7 2.4 3 5.4 6.5 4.0 4 2.9 3.5 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+KVC Westerlo down, SK Beveren across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,683 Jupiler Pro League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Jupiler Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.1% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.80 goals a meeting; 3 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

KVC Westerlo at home: 2.67 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). SK Beveren away: 0.25 scored, 2.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.12 goals for KVC Westerlo, 1.24 for SK Beveren. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.80

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 5

~~Both scored~~4 of 5

~~Last meetings~~SKB 3–1 KVC · KVC 2–1 SKB · SKB 2–1 KVC · KVC 1–1 SKB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Jupiler Pro League this season · since 22 Aug

KVC WESTERLO

LDWWWW0–4 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 4–2 · 2–0 · 5–1

SK BEVEREN

LLWWLL0–4 · 0–4 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gent	8	+11	22
2	Club Brugge KV	8	+15	21
3	Charleroi	8	+9	21
4	Union St. Gilloise	8	+18	20
5	Anderlecht	8	+3	16
6	KVC Westerlo	8	+3	13
7	Genk	8	+4	12
8	Zulte Waregem	8	+1	11
9	Standard Liege	8	0	11
10	Lommel United	8	0	11
11	SK Beveren	8	−6	9
12	St. Truiden	8	−1	8
13	Antwerp	8	−8	7
14	KV Mechelen	8	−8	6
15	OH Leuven	8	−8	5
16	RAAL La Louvière	8	−10	4
17	Kortrijk	8	−16	3
18	Cercle Brugge	8	−7	3