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Home › Football › First Amateur Division › Union Saint-Gilloise II v Sporting Charleroi II

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Union Saint-Gilloise II v Sporting Charleroi II

Union Saint-Gilloise II
2–0Full time
Sporting Charleroi II

First Amateur Division · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 21:02
Union Saint-Gilloise II 2–0 Sporting Charleroi II UNION SAINT-GILLOISE II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Union Saint-Gilloise II win47%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.428
The market’s Brier score0.355

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Union Saint-Gilloise II win at 47%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–25–28
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Union Saint-Gilloise II v Sporting Charleroi II
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Union Saint-Gilloise II 0–0 Sporting Charleroi II
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Union Saint-Gilloise II 0–0 Sporting Charleroi II
  6. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Union Saint-Gilloise II win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
  7. 51′We said Union Saint-Gilloise II at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–41–24
  8. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Union Saint-Gilloise II win 35%)
  9. 53′We said Union Saint-Gilloise II at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–24
  10. 56′Goalless on 56′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 33–44–23
  11. 63′We said Union Saint-Gilloise II at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
  12. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Union Saint-Gilloise II win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
  13. 72′We said Union Saint-Gilloise II at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–61–16
  14. 76′We said Union Saint-Gilloise II at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
  15. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Union Saint-Gilloise II win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
  16. 82′We said Union Saint-Gilloise II at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–0 · 12–78–9
  17. 84′Union Saint-Gilloise II find the net on 83′. 1–0. 1–0 · 93–7–0
  18. 84′We said Union Saint-Gilloise II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 1–0 · 93–7–0
  19. 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–0 Sporting Charleroi II
  20. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Union Saint-Gilloise II win: 47% at kick-off, 93% now
  21. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Union Saint-Gilloise II win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
  22. 88′We said Union Saint-Gilloise II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  23. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Union Saint-Gilloise II win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
  24. 93′A goal for Union Saint-Gilloise II on 90′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  25. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Union Saint-Gilloise II 2–0 Sporting Charleroi II
  26. 94′We said Union Saint-Gilloise II at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  27. FTFULL TIME Union Saint-Gilloise II 2–0 Sporting Charleroi II
  28. FTUnion Saint-Gilloise II 2–0 Sporting Charleroi II · Union Saint-Gilloise II win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Union Saint-Gilloise II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Union Saint-Gilloise II 47%, draw 25%, Sporting Charleroi II 28%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Union Saint-Gilloise II v Sporting Charleroi IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Union Saint-Gilloise II win47%
Draw25%
Sporting Charleroi II win28%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 18:30

RoundACFF · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Union Saint-Gilloise II

Sporting Charleroi II

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 10 Oct · First Amateur Division

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Union Saint-Gilloise II8+514
8Sporting Charleroi II8+110

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · union saint-gilloise ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:08 · locked at kick-off
47% The market51%
Us47%
Market51%

We make Union Saint-Gilloise II a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Union Saint-Gilloise II v Sporting Charleroi II1.67 – 1.25
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 SeptW4 D2 L0 · W1 D4 L1
Table places · points 14 v 104 v 8
The market · Union Saint-Gilloise II win51% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 11 OCT 04:0117 OCT 17:40
Our probability · Union Saint-Gilloise II win The market, margin stripped

Published at 45%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Union Saint-Gilloise II win47%51%−4
Draw25%25%0
Sporting Charleroi II win28%24%+4
Over 2.5 goals56%57%−1
Both teams to score58%58%0
Over 1.5 goals79%79%0
Over 3.5 goals34%36%−2
Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw72%76%−4
Union Saint-Gilloise II clean sheet29%––
Sporting Charleroi II clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%
0123450 6.1 6.3 4.3 1 8.5 11.6 6.9 2.9 2 7.5 9.1 5.7 2.4 3 4.2 5.1 3.2 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Union Saint-Gilloise II down, Sporting Charleroi II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting1.88
Over 2.53 of 8
Both scored2 of 8
Last meetingsUNI 0–3 SPO · SPO 0–0 UNI · UNI 4–1 SPO · SPO 0–2 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 Sept

UNION SAINT-GILLOISE II

WDWDWW2–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 5–2

SPORTING CHARLEROI II

DLDDWD2–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1RWDM8+619
2Rochefort8+1017
3Meux8+716
4Union Saint-Gilloise II8+514
5Tubize8+114
6Albert Quévy-Mons8+311
7Standard Liège II8+510
8Sporting Charleroi II8+110
9Olympic Charleroi8−79
10Onhaye8−106
11Habay-la-Neuve8−56
12Flénu8−161

The competition's standings before kick-off.