Tubize v Onhaye prediction · First Amateur Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TubizeDrawOnhaye

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Tubize 68%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tubize are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tubize 68%, draw 18%, Onhaye 14%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Tubize v OnhayeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Tubize win68%

Draw18%

Onhaye win14%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 19:00

RoundACFF · matchday 11

VenueStade Leburton

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tubize

Onhaye

14Days since last match20

Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 11 Oct · First Amateur Division

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Tubize	9	0	14
10	Onhaye	8	−10	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tubize winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

68% The market–

Us68%

We make Tubize a 68% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tubize v Onhaye~~2.42 – 0.97

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 14 v 6~~6 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tubize win	68%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Onhaye win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Tubize or draw	86%	–	–
Tubize clean sheet	38%	–	–
Onhaye clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.7%

0123450 4.0 3.1 1 8.0 8.2 3.9 2 9.7 9.2 4.5 3 7.8 7.3 3.6 4 4.8 4.5 2.2 5 2.4 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Tubize down, Onhaye across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tubize at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Onhaye away: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.42 goals for Tubize, 0.97 for Onhaye. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~TUB 2–0 ONH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 6 Sept

TUBIZE

DWDWLL2–2 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1

ONHAYE

LWLLLL0–1 · 2–1 · 2–5 · 1–2 · 2–4 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rochefort	10	+12	20
2	Meux	9	+8	19
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
5	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+6	17
6	Tubize	9	0	14
7	Standard Liège II	9	+6	13
8	Olympic Charleroi	10	−9	12
9	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
10	Onhaye	8	−10	6
11	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
12	Flénu	9	−17	1