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Tubize v Meux
TubizeMeuxFirst Amateur Division · SAT 17 OCT · Stade Leburton
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Tubize win at 51%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Tubize was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–26–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Tubize v Meux
- 20′Meux find the net on 20′. 0–1. 0–1 · 22–25–53
- 20′We said Tubize at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–25–53
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Tubize 0–1 Meux
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Tubize win: 51% at kick-off, 22% now
- 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Meux win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Tubize win 22%)
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Tubize win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
- 29′We said Tubize at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 19–26–55
- 44′We said Tubize at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
- 45′HALF-TIME Tubize 0–1 Meux
- 46′SECOND HALF Tubize 0–1 Meux
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Tubize win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
- 58′We said Tubize at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
- 70′We said Tubize at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Tubize win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
- FTFULL TIME Tubize 0–1 Meux
- FTTubize 0–1 Meux · Tubize win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassTubize are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Tubize 51%, draw 25%, Meux 24%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Tubize win51%Meux win24%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00
RoundACFF · matchday 9
VenueStade Leburton
Match timeline
All events
TubizeMINMeuxEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Tubize
Meux
Last match: 10 Oct · First Amateur Division
Last match: 10 Oct · First Amateur Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Meux | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 | Tubize | 8 | +1 | 14 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Tubize a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tubize win | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Meux win | 24% | 24% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 55% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 33% | −4 |
| Tubize or draw | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Tubize clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| Meux clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 Sept
TUBIZE
MEUX
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RWDM | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Rochefort | 8 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 | Meux | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise II | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Tubize | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Albert Quévy-Mons | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Standard Liège II | 8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Sporting Charleroi II | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Olympic Charleroi | 8 | −7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Onhaye | 8 | −10 | 6 |
| 11 |  Habay-la-Neuve | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Flénu | 8 | −16 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.