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Model 1.2

Home › Football › First Amateur Division › Tienen v Mandel United

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Tienen v Mandel United

Tienen
14:00Upcoming
Mandel United

First Amateur Division · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TienenDrawMandel United
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Tienen 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tienen are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tienen 40%, draw 28%, Mandel United 32%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Tienen v Mandel UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Tienen win40%
Draw28%
Mandel United win32%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundVV · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tienen

Mandel United

4Days since last match8

Last match: 21 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Mandel United8+716
21Tienen809

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tienen winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 22 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Tienen a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Tienen v Mandel United1.31 – 1.13
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 SeptW2 D3 L1 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 9 v 1621 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 03:09
Our probability · Tienen win

Published at 42%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tienen win40%––
Draw28%––
Mandel United win32%––
Over 2.5 goals44%––
Both teams to score49%––
Over 1.5 goals70%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Tienen or draw68%––
Tienen clean sheet33%––
Mandel United clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%
0123450 9.8 9.4 5.6 2.2 1 11.0 13.0 7.0 2.7 2 7.5 8.1 4.6 3 3.3 3.6 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Tienen down, Mandel United across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.25
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsMAN 0–3 TIE · TIE 2–0 MAN · MAN 1–0 TIE · TIE 2–1 MAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 Sept

TIENEN

WDWDDL4–0 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–4

MANDEL UNITED

LWLWWW0–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Houtvenne9+1222
2Rochefort10+1220
3RWDM10+319
4Albert Quévy-Mons10+1118
5Roeselare Daisel9+918
6Union Saint-Gilloise II9+717
7Oud-Heverlee Leuven II9+517
8Meux9+317
9Mandel United8+716
10Merelbeke9+615
11Heist9+514
12Tubize9014
13Thes Sport9+413
14Dessel Sport9−112
15Olympic Charleroi9−412
16Spouwen-Mopertingen9−211
17Hoogstraten8+410
18Standard Liège II8+110
19Sporting Charleroi II9−110
20Knokke9−410
21Tienen809
22Cercle Brugge II8−68
23Habay-la-Neuve8−56
24Lyra-Lierse Berlaar8−66
25Onhaye8−106
26Harelbeke8−174
27Zelzate9−163
28Flénu9−171

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.