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Thes Sport v Tienen

Thes Sport

19:00Upcoming

Tienen

First Amateur Division · FRI 30 OCT · Gemeentelijk Sportpark

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Thes SportDrawTienen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Thes Sport 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Thes Sport are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Thes Sport 48%, draw 26%, Tienen 26%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Thes Sport v TienenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Thes Sport win48%

Draw26%

Tienen win26%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 19:00

RoundVV · matchday 10

VenueGemeentelijk Sportpark

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Thes Sport

Tienen

7Days since last match9

Last match: 23 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 21 Oct · First Amateur Division

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Thes Sport	9	+4	13
21	Tienen	8	0	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · thes sport winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Thes Sport a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Thes Sport v Tienen~~1.56 – 1.08

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 9~~13 v 21

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Thes Sport win	48%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Tienen win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Thes Sport or draw	74%	–	–
Thes Sport clean sheet	34%	–	–
Tienen clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 7.9 7.3 4.2 1 10.7 12.3 6.4 2.3 2 8.6 9.1 4.9 3 4.5 4.8 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Thes Sport down, Tienen across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Thes Sport at home: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Tienen away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Thes Sport, 1.08 for Tienen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~THE 0–0 TIE · TIE 1–0 THE · TIE 3–2 THE · THE 0–1 TIE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 Sept

THES SPORT

LWDLDW2–3 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 3–0

TIENEN

WDWDDL4–0 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Houtvenne	9	+12	22
2	Rochefort	10	+12	20
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+11	18
5	Roeselare Daisel	9	+9	18
6	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven II	9	+5	17
8	Meux	9	+3	17
9	Mandel United	8	+7	16
10	Merelbeke	9	+6	15
11	Heist	9	+5	14
12	Tubize	9	0	14
13	Thes Sport	9	+4	13
14	Dessel Sport	9	−1	12
15	Olympic Charleroi	9	−4	12
16	Spouwen-Mopertingen	9	−2	11
17	Hoogstraten	8	+4	10
18	Standard Liège II	8	+1	10
19	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
20	Knokke	9	−4	10
21	Tienen	8	0	9
22	Cercle Brugge II	8	−6	8
23	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
24	Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	8	−6	6
25	Onhaye	8	−10	6
26	Harelbeke	8	−17	4
27	Zelzate	9	−16	3
28	Flénu	9	−17	1