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Thes Sport v Cercle Brugge II
Thes Sport
Cercle Brugge IIFirst Amateur Division · SAT 17 OCT · Gemeentelijk Sportpark
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Thes Sport win at 54%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Thes Sport was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–23–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Thes Sport v Cercle Brugge II
- 2′A goal for Thes Sport on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–14–9
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Thes Sport 1–0 Cercle Brugge II
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
- 3′We published Thes Sport at 54%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–14–9
- 7′GOAL DISALLOWED · 7' Thes Sport
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 53% now
- 28′A goal for Thes Sport on 28′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–16–7
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Thes Sport 1–0 Cercle Brugge II
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 77–16–7
- 43′Thes Sport score on 43′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 43′We published Thes Sport at 54%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Thes Sport 2–0 Cercle Brugge II
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 94% now
- 45′We published Thes Sport at 54%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Thes Sport 2–0 Cercle Brugge II
- 46′SECOND HALF Thes Sport 2–0 Cercle Brugge II
- 51′Cercle Brugge II find the net on 50′. 2–1. 2–1 · 79–16–5
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' Thes Sport 2–1 Cercle Brugge II
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 79% now
- 53′A goal for Cercle Brugge II on 53′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 39–40–21
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Thes Sport 2–2 Cercle Brugge II
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 39% now
- 54′We said Thes Sport at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–41–20
- 54′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 39–41–20
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Thes Sport win 37%)
- 62′We said Thes Sport at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–47–18
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 34% now
- 69′We said Thes Sport at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–55–16
- 74′We said Thes Sport at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–62–14
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
- 78′We said Thes Sport at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–69–11
- 82′We said Thes Sport at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–78–8
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 14% now
- 86′We said Thes Sport at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
- 92′We said Thes Sport at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Thes Sport win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
- FTFULL TIME Thes Sport 2–2 Cercle Brugge II
- FTThes Sport 2–2 Cercle Brugge II · Thes Sport win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassThes Sport are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Thes Sport 54%, draw 23%, Cercle Brugge II 23%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Thes Sport win54%
Cercle Brugge II win23%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00
RoundVV · matchday 8
VenueGemeentelijk Sportpark
Match timeline
All events
Thes SportMIN
Cercle Brugge IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Thes Sport
Cercle Brugge II
Last match: 11 Oct · First Amateur Division
Last match: 11 Oct · First Amateur Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Thes Sport a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 56%, 54% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thes Sport win | 54% | 51% | +3 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Cercle Brugge II win | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 80% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 38% | −1 |
| Thes Sport or draw | 77% | 76% | +1 |
| Thes Sport clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Cercle Brugge II clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 Sept
THES SPORT
CERCLE BRUGGE II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RWDM | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 | Houtvenne | 7 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Rochefort | 8 | +10 | 17 |
| 4 | Roeselare Daisel | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Meux | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Tubize | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Mandel United | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 9 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 8 | +8 | 12 |
| 11 | Merelbeke | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 12 | Dessel Sport | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Charleroi II | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 | Knokke | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Hoogstraten | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 16 | Tienen | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 17 | Thes Sport | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 18 | Olympic Charleroi | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 19 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 20 | Heist | 7 | −3 | 8 |
| 21 | Standard Liège II | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 22 | Cercle Brugge II | 7 | −6 | 7 |
| 23 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 24 | Habay-la-Neuve | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 25 | Onhaye | 8 | −10 | 6 |
| 26 | Harelbeke | 7 | −14 | 4 |
| 27 | Zelzate | 7 | −10 | 3 |
| 28 | Flénu | 8 | −16 | 1 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
RWDM
Houtvenne
Rochefort
Roeselare Daisel
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Meux
Tubize
Mandel United
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Albert Quévy-Mons
Merelbeke
Dessel Sport
Sporting Charleroi II
Knokke
Hoogstraten
Tienen
Olympic Charleroi
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Heist
Standard Liège II
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Habay-la-Neuve
Onhaye
Harelbeke
Zelzate
Flénu