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Model 1.2

Home › Football › First Amateur Division › RWDM v Albert Quévy-Mons

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RWDM v Albert Quévy-Mons

RWDM
1–2Full time
Albert Quévy-Mons

First Amateur Division · SAT 24 OCT · Edmond Machtens Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:41
RWDM 1–2 Albert Quévy-Mons ALBERT QUÉVY-MONS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Albert Quévy-Mons win47%
The market said46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.425
The market’s Brier score0.438

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 23 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Albert Quévy-Mons win at 47%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Albert Quévy-Mons 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 27–27–47
  3. 1′KICK-OFF RWDM v Albert Quévy-Mons
  4. 20′RWDM find the net on 19′. 1–0. 1–0 · 57–24–19
  5. 20′⚽ GOAL · 19' RWDM 1–0 Albert Quévy-Mons
  6. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 47% at kick-off, 19% now
  7. 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' RWDM win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Albert Quévy-Mons win 44%)
  8. 22′GOAL DISALLOWED · 22' RWDM
  9. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 47% at kick-off, 43% now
  10. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Albert Quévy-Mons win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was RWDM win 57%)
  11. 33′RWDM find the net on 32′. 1–0. 1–0 · 60–25–16
  12. 33′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 1–0 · 60–25–16
  13. 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' RWDM 1–0 Albert Quévy-Mons
  14. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 47% at kick-off, 16% now
  15. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' RWDM win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Albert Quévy-Mons win 40%)
  16. 34′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 60–25–15
  17. 35′A goal for Albert Quévy-Mons on 35′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 25–35–40
  18. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' RWDM 1–1 Albert Quévy-Mons
  19. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 47% at kick-off, 40% now
  20. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Albert Quévy-Mons win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was RWDM win 60%)
  21. 45′HALF-TIME RWDM 1–1 Albert Quévy-Mons
  22. 46′SECOND HALF RWDM 1–1 Albert Quévy-Mons
  23. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Albert Quévy-Mons win 38%)
  24. 49′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 23–42–35
  25. 50′Albert Quévy-Mons score on 50′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 5–18–78
  26. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' RWDM 1–2 Albert Quévy-Mons
  27. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 47% at kick-off, 78% now
  28. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Albert Quévy-Mons win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 43%)
  29. 51′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–2 · 5–18–78
  30. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 47% at kick-off, 78% now
  31. 52′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 5–17–78
  32. 59′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 4–17–80
  33. 71′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
  34. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
  35. 79′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
  36. 86′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  37. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
  38. FTFULL TIME RWDM 1–2 Albert Quévy-Mons
  39. FTRWDM 1–2 Albert Quévy-Mons · Albert Quévy-Mons win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Albert Quévy-Mons are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: RWDM 27%, draw 26%, Albert Quévy-Mons 47%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on RWDM v Albert Quévy-MonsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

RWDM win27%
Draw26%
Albert Quévy-Mons win47%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundACFF · matchday 10

VenueEdmond Machtens Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RWDM

Albert Quévy-Mons

7Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 21 Oct · First Amateur Division

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2RWDM9+419
5Albert Quévy-Mons9+514

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · albert quévy-mons winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 22 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off
47% The market46%
Us47%
Market46%

We make Albert Quévy-Mons a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.1–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · RWDM v Albert Quévy-Mons1.09 – 1.53
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 12 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 19 v 142 v 5
The market · Albert Quévy-Mons win46% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 18:18
Our probability · Albert Quévy-Mons win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
RWDM win27%27%0
Draw26%27%−1
Albert Quévy-Mons win47%46%+1
Over 2.5 goals48%52%−4
Both teams to score51%55%−4
Over 1.5 goals74%74%0
Over 3.5 goals27%31%−4
RWDM or draw53%54%−1
RWDM clean sheet22%––
Albert Quévy-Mons clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%
0123450 8.2 10.8 8.5 4.4 1 7.6 12.3 8.9 4.6 2 4.4 6.5 4.9 2.5 3 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+RWDM down, Albert Quévy-Mons across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 12 Sept

RWDM

WWDLWL1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 2–1 · 1–3

ALBERT QUÉVY-MONS

DWWLDW2–2 · 5–2 · 4–0 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Meux9+819
2RWDM9+419
3Rochefort9+817
4Union Saint-Gilloise II9+717
5Albert Quévy-Mons9+514
6Tubize9014
7Standard Liège II9+613
8Olympic Charleroi9−512
9Sporting Charleroi II9−110
10Onhaye8−106
11Habay-la-Neuve8−56
12Flénu9−171

The competition's standings before kick-off.