Home › Football › First Amateur Division › Roeselare Daisel v Knokke

Roeselare Daisel v Knokke

Roeselare Daisel

2–1Full time

Knokke

First Amateur Division · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:41

Roeselare Daisel 2–1 Knokke ROESELARE DAISEL WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Roeselare Daisel win~~48%

~~The market said~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.410

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.303

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Roeselare Daisel win at 48%.
1′Much as we predicted: Roeselare Daisel was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–26
1′KICK-OFF Roeselare Daisel v Knokke
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Roeselare Daisel win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
45′HALF-TIME Roeselare Daisel 0–0 Knokke
46′SECOND HALF Roeselare Daisel 0–0 Knokke
47′Roeselare Daisel find the net on 46′. 1–0. 1–0 · 77–18–5
47′We published Roeselare Daisel at 48%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–18–5
47′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 77–18–5
47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Roeselare Daisel 1–0 Knokke
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Roeselare Daisel win: 48% at kick-off, 77% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Roeselare Daisel win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
58′We published Roeselare Daisel at 48%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
62′A goal for Roeselare Daisel on 62′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
62′We published Roeselare Daisel at 48%. Our model now makes it 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Roeselare Daisel 2–0 Knokke
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Roeselare Daisel win: 48% at kick-off, 97% now
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Roeselare Daisel win: 48% at kick-off, 98% now
67′Roeselare Daisel score on 67′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Roeselare Daisel 3–0 Knokke
68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Roeselare Daisel
82′We published Roeselare Daisel at 48%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
83′Knokke score on 83′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 93–7–0
83′We published Roeselare Daisel at 48%. Our model now makes it 93%. 2–1 · 93–7–0
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Roeselare Daisel 2–1 Knokke
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Roeselare Daisel win: 48% at kick-off, 93% now
85′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 94–6–0
92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Roeselare Daisel win: 48% at kick-off, 98% now
FTFULL TIME Roeselare Daisel 2–1 Knokke
FTRoeselare Daisel 2–1 Knokke · Roeselare Daisel win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Roeselare Daisel are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Roeselare Daisel 48%, draw 26%, Knokke 26%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Roeselare Daisel v KnokkeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Roeselare Daisel win48%

Draw26%

Knokke win26%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundVV · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Roeselare Daisel

Knokke

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 18 Oct · First Amateur Division

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Roeselare Daisel	8	+8	15
20	Knokke	8	−3	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · roeselare daisel winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off

48% The market55%

Us48%

~~Market~~55%

We make Roeselare Daisel a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Roeselare Daisel v Knokke~~1.57 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 15 v 10~~9 v 20

~~The market · Roeselare Daisel win~~55% · ours 48%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Roeselare Daisel win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 48% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Roeselare Daisel win	48%	55%	−7
Draw	26%	23%	+3
Knokke win	26%	21%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	49%	58%	−9
Both teams to score	52%	58%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	74%	78%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	28%	38%	−10
Roeselare Daisel or draw	74%	79%	−5
Roeselare Daisel clean sheet	34%	–	–
Knokke clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 7.8 7.3 4.2 1 10.6 12.2 6.4 2.4 2 8.5 9.1 5.0 3 4.5 4.8 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Roeselare Daisel down, Knokke across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,901 First Amateur Division matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.0% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Roeselare Daisel at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Knokke away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.57 goals for Roeselare Daisel, 1.09 for Knokke. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KNO 1–0 ROE · ROE 4–1 KNO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 Sept

ROESELARE DAISEL

WDLWWD1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–1

KNOKKE

LWDWLL1–2 · 3–2 · 0–0 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Houtvenne	8	+12	21
2	RWDM	9	+4	19
3	Rochefort	9	+8	17
4	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
5	Meux	9	+3	17
6	Mandel United	8	+7	16
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven II	8	+5	16
8	Albert Quévy-Mons	9	+10	15
9	Roeselare Daisel	8	+8	15
10	Merelbeke	8	+6	14
11	Tubize	9	0	14
12	Thes Sport	9	+4	13
13	Olympic Charleroi	8	0	12
14	Heist	8	+1	11
15	Dessel Sport	8	−1	11
16	Spouwen-Mopertingen	9	−2	11
17	Hoogstraten	8	+4	10
18	Standard Liège II	8	+1	10
19	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
20	Knokke	8	−3	10
21	Tienen	8	0	9
22	Cercle Brugge II	8	−6	8
23	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
24	Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	8	−6	6
25	Onhaye	8	−10	6
26	Harelbeke	8	−17	4
27	Zelzate	8	−12	3
28	Flénu	9	−17	1