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Oud-Heverlee Leuven II v Harelbeke
Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIHarelbekeFirst Amateur Division · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win at 61%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–19–21
- 1′KICK-OFF Oud-Heverlee Leuven II v Harelbeke
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
- 44′Oud-Heverlee Leuven II find the net on 44′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–15–6
- 44′We published Oud-Heverlee Leuven II at 61%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–15–6
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 1–0 Harelbeke
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win: 61% at kick-off, 79% now
- 45′A goal for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II on 45′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 45′We published Oud-Heverlee Leuven II at 61%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2–0 Harelbeke
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win: 61% at kick-off, 94% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2–0 Harelbeke
- 46′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 46′SECOND HALF Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2–0 Harelbeke
- 47′Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score on 47′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 3–0 Harelbeke
- 48′We published Oud-Heverlee Leuven II at 61%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 64′We published Oud-Heverlee Leuven II at 61%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 75′Oud-Heverlee Leuven II find the net on 75′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4–0 Harelbeke
- 76′4 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 80′A goal for Harelbeke on 79′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 80′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4–1 Harelbeke
- FTFULL TIME Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4–1 Harelbeke
- FTOud-Heverlee Leuven II 4–1 Harelbeke · Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 61%, draw 19%, Harelbeke 20%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 69%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win61%Harelbeke win20%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundVV · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIMINHarelbekeEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Harelbeke
Last match: 11 Oct · First Amateur Division
Last match: 11 Oct · First Amateur Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 26 | Harelbeke | 7 | −14 | 4 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Oud-Heverlee Leuven II a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.5–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win | 61% | 66% | −5 |
| Draw | 19% | 19% | 0 |
| Harelbeke win | 20% | 15% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 69% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 69% | 61% | +8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 85% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% | 49% | +6 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II or draw | 80% | 85% | −5 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Harelbeke clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2022/23No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 Sept
OUD-HEVERLEE LEUVEN II
HARELBEKE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Houtvenne | 8 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  RWDM | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 3 |  Rochefort | 8 | +10 | 17 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise II | 9 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Meux | 9 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Mandel United | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 7 |  Roeselare Daisel | 8 | +8 | 15 |
| 8 |  Tubize | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Albert Quévy-Mons | 8 | +8 | 12 |
| 11 |  Olympic Charleroi | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |  Merelbeke | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 13 |  Spouwen-Mopertingen | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Dessel Sport | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Hoogstraten | 8 | +4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Thes Sport | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 17 |  Knokke | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 18 |  Sporting Charleroi II | 9 | −1 | 10 |
| 19 |  Tienen | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 20 |  Heist | 7 | −3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cercle Brugge II | 8 | −6 | 8 |
| 22 |  Standard Liège II | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 23 |  Habay-la-Neuve | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 24 |  Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 8 | −6 | 6 |
| 25 |  Onhaye | 8 | −10 | 6 |
| 26 | Harelbeke | 7 | −14 | 4 |
| 27 |  Zelzate | 8 | −12 | 3 |
| 28 |  Flénu | 8 | −16 | 1 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.