Onhaye v Union Saint-Gilloise II prediction · First Amateur Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

OnhayeDrawUnion Saint-Gilloise II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Union Saint-Gilloise II 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Union Saint-Gilloise II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Onhaye 30%, draw 22%, Union Saint-Gilloise II 48%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Onhaye v Union Saint-Gilloise IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Onhaye win30%

Draw22%

Union Saint-Gilloise II win48%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundACFF · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Onhaye

Union Saint-Gilloise II

14Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
10	Onhaye	8	−10	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · union saint-gilloise ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Union Saint-Gilloise II a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Onhaye v Union Saint-Gilloise II~~1.53 – 1.97

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 6 v 17~~10 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Onhaye win	30%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Union Saint-Gilloise II win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Onhaye or draw	52%	–	–
Onhaye clean sheet	15%	–	–
Union Saint-Gilloise II clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.7 5.8 5.9 3.9 1 4.4 9.4 8.7 5.7 2.9 2 3.6 6.8 6.5 4.3 2.2 3 3.5 3.4 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Onhaye down, Union Saint-Gilloise II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Onhaye at home: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 4). Union Saint-Gilloise II away: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Onhaye, 1.97 for Union Saint-Gilloise II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 6 Sept

ONHAYE

LWLLLL0–1 · 2–1 · 2–5 · 1–2 · 2–4 · 1–4

UNION SAINT-GILLOISE II

DWDWWW1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 5–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rochefort	10	+12	20
2	Meux	9	+8	19
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
5	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+6	17
6	Tubize	9	0	14
7	Standard Liège II	9	+6	13
8	Olympic Charleroi	10	−9	12
9	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
10	Onhaye	8	−10	6
11	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
12	Flénu	9	−17	1