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Olympic Charleroi v RWDM
Olympic CharleroiRWDMFirst Amateur Division · SAT 17 OCT · Stade de la Neuville
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Olympic Charleroi win at 48%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Olympic Charleroi was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–24–28
- 2′KICK-OFF Olympic Charleroi v RWDM
- 14′A goal for Olympic Charleroi on 13′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 72–16–11
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Olympic Charleroi 1–0 RWDM
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Olympic Charleroi win: 48% at kick-off, 72% now
- 15′We published Olympic Charleroi at 48%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–16–11
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 73–18–9
- 45′We published Olympic Charleroi at 48%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Olympic Charleroi 1–0 RWDM
- 46′SECOND HALF Olympic Charleroi 1–0 RWDM
- 57′RWDM score on 57′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 34–43–23
- 57′We said Olympic Charleroi at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–43–23
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Olympic Charleroi 1–1 RWDM
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Olympic Charleroi win: 48% at kick-off, 34% now
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Olympic Charleroi win 34%)
- 60′Olympic Charleroi find the net on 60′. 2–1. 2–1 · 78–17–4
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Olympic Charleroi 2–1 RWDM
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Olympic Charleroi win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Olympic Charleroi win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 17%)
- 65′We published Olympic Charleroi at 48%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
- 75′A goal for Olympic Charleroi on 74′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 75′We published Olympic Charleroi at 48%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 75′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 75′⚽ GOAL · 74' Olympic Charleroi 3–1 RWDM
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Olympic Charleroi win: 48% at kick-off, 98% now
- 83′We published Olympic Charleroi at 48%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Olympic Charleroi 3–1 RWDM
- FTOlympic Charleroi 3–1 RWDM · Olympic Charleroi win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOlympic Charleroi are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Olympic Charleroi 48%, draw 24%, RWDM 28%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Olympic Charleroi win48%RWDM win28%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00
RoundACFF · matchday 9
VenueStade de la Neuville
Match timeline
All events
Olympic CharleroiMINRWDMEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Olympic Charleroi
RWDM
Last match: 10 Oct · First Amateur Division
Last match: 10 Oct · First Amateur Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RWDM | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 9 | Olympic Charleroi | 8 | −7 | 9 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Olympic Charleroi a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Charleroi win | 48% | 40% | +8 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| RWDM win | 28% | 32% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 54% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 58% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 76% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 34% | +5 |
| Olympic Charleroi or draw | 72% | 68% | +4 |
| Olympic Charleroi clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| RWDM clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 Sept
OLYMPIC CHARLEROI
RWDM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RWDM | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Rochefort | 8 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 |  Meux | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise II | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Tubize | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Albert Quévy-Mons | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Standard Liège II | 8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Sporting Charleroi II | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Olympic Charleroi | 8 | −7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Onhaye | 8 | −10 | 6 |
| 11 |  Habay-la-Neuve | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Flénu | 8 | −16 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.