Olympic Charleroi v Habay-la-Neuve prediction · First Amateur Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Olympic CharleroiDrawHabay-la-Neuve

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Olympic Charleroi 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Olympic Charleroi are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Olympic Charleroi 56%, draw 22%, Habay-la-Neuve 23%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Olympic Charleroi v Habay-la-NeuveBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the plans

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Olympic Charleroi win56%

Draw22%

Habay-la-Neuve win23%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 19:00

RoundACFF · matchday 11

VenueStade de la Neuville

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olympic Charleroi

Habay-la-Neuve

7Days since last match15

Last match: 24 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 16 Oct · the Belgian Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Olympic Charleroi	10	−9	12
11	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympic charleroi winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Olympic Charleroi a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. The market has not priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Olympic Charleroi v Habay-la-Neuve~~2.07 – 1.24

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 6~~8 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	US	MARKET	GAP
Olympic Charleroi win	56%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Habay-la-Neuve win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Olympic Charleroi or draw	77%	–	–
Olympic Charleroi clean sheet	30%	–	–
Habay-la-Neuve clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market has not priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 4.4 4.3 2.9 1 7.3 9.7 5.7 2.4 2 7.7 9.3 5.7 2.4 3 5.3 6.4 3.9 4 2.8 3.4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Olympic Charleroi down, Habay-la-Neuve across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Olympic Charleroi at home: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Habay-la-Neuve away: 0.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.07 goals for Olympic Charleroi, 1.24 for Habay-la-Neuve. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~OLY 1–1 HAB · HAB 0–2 OLY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 Sept

OLYMPIC CHARLEROI

LWDDWL1–3 · 4–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–4

HABAY-LA-NEUVE

LDWDLD0–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rochefort	10	+12	20
2	Meux	9	+8	19
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
5	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+6	17
6	Tubize	9	0	14
7	Standard Liège II	9	+6	13
8	Olympic Charleroi	10	−9	12
9	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
10	Onhaye	8	−10	6
11	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
12	Flénu	9	−17	1