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Mandel United v Zelzate
Mandel UnitedZelzateFirst Amateur Division · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Mandel United win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Mandel United 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–25–28
- 1′KICK-OFF Mandel United v Zelzate
- 7′Mandel United find the net on 7′. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–16–11
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Mandel United 1–0 Zelzate
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Mandel United win: 47% at kick-off, 72% now
- 8′We said Mandel United at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–16–11
- 13′A goal for Zelzate on 12′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 46–27–28
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Mandel United 1–1 Zelzate
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Mandel United win: 47% at kick-off, 46% now
- 33′Mandel United score on 32′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 74–18–8
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Mandel United 2–1 Zelzate
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Mandel United win: 47% at kick-off, 74% now
- 35′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 74–18–8
- 41′We said Mandel United at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–18–7
- 45′Mandel United find the net on 45′. 3–1. 3–1 · 93–5–1
- 45′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 93–5–1
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Mandel United 3–1 Zelzate
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Mandel United win: 47% at kick-off, 93% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Mandel United 3–1 Zelzate
- 46′We said Mandel United at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 46′SECOND HALF Mandel United 3–1 Zelzate
- 53′We said Mandel United at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Mandel United win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
- 83′We said Mandel United at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Mandel United 3–1 Zelzate
- FTMandel United 3–1 Zelzate · Mandel United win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassMandel United are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Mandel United 47%, draw 25%, Zelzate 28%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Mandel United win47%Zelzate win28%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00
RoundVV · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Mandel UnitedMINZelzateEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Mandel United
Zelzate
Last match: 11 Oct · First Amateur Division
Last match: 10 Oct · First Amateur Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mandel United | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 27 | Zelzate | 7 | −10 | 3 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Mandel United a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mandel United win | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Zelzate win | 28% | 25% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 58% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 60% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 80% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 38% | −4 |
| Mandel United or draw | 72% | 75% | −3 |
| Mandel United clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Zelzate clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 Sept
MANDEL UNITED
ZELZATE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RWDM | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Houtvenne | 7 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rochefort | 8 | +10 | 17 |
| 4 |  Roeselare Daisel | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Union Saint-Gilloise II | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Meux | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Tubize | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Mandel United | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 7 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Albert Quévy-Mons | 8 | +8 | 12 |
| 11 |  Merelbeke | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Dessel Sport | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 |  Sporting Charleroi II | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Knokke | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 |  Hoogstraten | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Tienen | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Thes Sport | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Olympic Charleroi | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Spouwen-Mopertingen | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 20 |  Heist | 7 | −3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Standard Liège II | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 22 |  Cercle Brugge II | 7 | −6 | 7 |
| 23 |  Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 24 |  Habay-la-Neuve | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 25 |  Onhaye | 8 | −10 | 6 |
| 26 |  Harelbeke | 7 | −14 | 4 |
| 27 | Zelzate | 7 | −10 | 3 |
| 28 |  Flénu | 8 | −16 | 1 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.