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Mandel United v Dessel Sport

Mandel United

19:00Upcoming

Dessel Sport

First Amateur Division · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Mandel UnitedDrawDessel Sport

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Mandel United 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mandel United are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mandel United 42%, draw 23%, Dessel Sport 34%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Mandel United v Dessel SportBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Mandel United win42%

Draw23%

Dessel Sport win34%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 19:00

RoundVV · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mandel United

Dessel Sport

14Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 24 Oct · First Amateur Division

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Mandel United	8	+7	16
14	Dessel Sport	9	−1	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mandel united winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Mandel United a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mandel United v Dessel Sport~~1.75 – 1.56

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 12~~9 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mandel United win	42%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Dessel Sport win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Mandel United or draw	66%	–	–
Mandel United clean sheet	22%	–	–
Dessel Sport clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.4 5.5 4.5 2.4 1 6.2 10.2 7.5 3.9 2 5.6 8.4 6.4 3.4 3 3.3 4.9 3.8 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mandel United down, Dessel Sport across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mandel United at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Dessel Sport away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Mandel United, 1.56 for Dessel Sport. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~DES 3–0 MAN · MAN 0–2 DES · DES 2–2 MAN · MAN 0–3 DES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 Sept

MANDEL UNITED

LWLWWW0–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 3–1

DESSEL SPORT

WDWLLD3–1 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 0–2 · 3–4 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Houtvenne	9	+12	22
2	Rochefort	10	+12	20
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+11	18
5	Roeselare Daisel	9	+9	18
6	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven II	9	+5	17
8	Meux	9	+3	17
9	Mandel United	8	+7	16
10	Merelbeke	9	+6	15
11	Heist	9	+5	14
12	Tubize	9	0	14
13	Thes Sport	9	+4	13
14	Dessel Sport	9	−1	12
15	Olympic Charleroi	9	−4	12
16	Spouwen-Mopertingen	9	−2	11
17	Hoogstraten	8	+4	10
18	Standard Liège II	8	+1	10
19	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
20	Knokke	9	−4	10
21	Tienen	8	0	9
22	Cercle Brugge II	8	−6	8
23	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
24	Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	8	−6	6
25	Onhaye	8	−10	6
26	Harelbeke	8	−17	4
27	Zelzate	9	−16	3
28	Flénu	9	−17	1