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Knokke v Harelbeke

Knokke

19:00Upcoming

Harelbeke

First Amateur Division · SAT 31 OCT · Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KnokkeDrawHarelbeke

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Knokke 67%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Knokke are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Knokke 67%, draw 18%, Harelbeke 14%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Knokke v HarelbekeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Knokke win67%

Draw18%

Harelbeke win14%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 19:00

RoundVV · matchday 10

VenueBurgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Knokke

Harelbeke

7Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 18 Oct · First Amateur Division

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
20	Knokke	9	−4	10
26	Harelbeke	8	−17	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · knokke winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Knokke a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Knokke v Harelbeke~~2.43 – 1.03

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 10 v 4~~20 v 26

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Knokke win	67%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Harelbeke win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Knokke or draw	86%	–	–
Knokke clean sheet	36%	–	–
Harelbeke clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.2%

0123450 3.8 3.1 1 7.5 8.2 4.0 2 9.2 9.2 4.7 3 7.4 7.4 3.8 4 4.5 4.5 2.3 5 2.3 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Knokke down, Harelbeke across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Knokke at home: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Harelbeke away: 0.50 scored, 3.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.43 goals for Knokke, 1.03 for Harelbeke. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 13 Sept

KNOKKE

WDWLLL3–2 · 0–0 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 1–2

HARELBEKE

LLDLWL0–4 · 0–3 · 3–3 · 0–4 · 1–0 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Houtvenne	9	+12	22
2	Rochefort	10	+12	20
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+11	18
5	Roeselare Daisel	9	+9	18
6	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven II	9	+5	17
8	Meux	9	+3	17
9	Mandel United	8	+7	16
10	Merelbeke	9	+6	15
11	Heist	9	+5	14
12	Tubize	9	0	14
13	Thes Sport	9	+4	13
14	Dessel Sport	9	−1	12
15	Olympic Charleroi	9	−4	12
16	Spouwen-Mopertingen	9	−2	11
17	Hoogstraten	8	+4	10
18	Standard Liège II	8	+1	10
19	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
20	Knokke	9	−4	10
21	Tienen	8	0	9
22	Cercle Brugge II	8	−6	8
23	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
24	Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	8	−6	6
25	Onhaye	8	−10	6
26	Harelbeke	8	−17	4
27	Zelzate	9	−16	3
28	Flénu	9	−17	1