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Hoogstraten v Spouwen-Mopertingen

Hoogstraten

19:00Upcoming

Spouwen-Mopertingen

First Amateur Division · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HoogstratenDrawSpouwen-Mopertingen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hoogstraten 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hoogstraten are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hoogstraten 45%, draw 22%, Spouwen-Mopertingen 32%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Hoogstraten v Spouwen-MopertingenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Hoogstraten win45%

Draw22%

Spouwen-Mopertingen win32%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 19:00

RoundVV · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hoogstraten

Spouwen-Mopertingen

14Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 23 Oct · First Amateur Division

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
16	Spouwen-Mopertingen	9	−2	11
17	Hoogstraten	8	+4	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hoogstraten winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Hoogstraten a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hoogstraten v Spouwen-Mopertingen~~1.94 – 1.62

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 11~~17 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hoogstraten win	45%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Spouwen-Mopertingen win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Hoogstraten or draw	68%	–	–
Hoogstraten clean sheet	20%	–	–
Spouwen-Mopertingen clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.5 4.5 3.8 2.1 1 5.3 9.3 7.1 3.8 2 5.4 8.4 6.7 3.6 3 3.5 5.4 4.3 2.3 4 2.7 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hoogstraten down, Spouwen-Mopertingen across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.86 goals a meeting; 5 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hoogstraten at home: 2.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Spouwen-Mopertingen away: 2.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Hoogstraten, 1.62 for Spouwen-Mopertingen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.86

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 7

~~Both scored~~4 of 7

~~Last meetings~~HOO 5–3 SPO · SPO 2–1 HOO · HOO 3–0 SPO · SPO 2–0 HOO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 12 Sept

HOOGSTRATEN

DLDWWD4–4 · 1–2 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 1–1

SPOUWEN-MOPERTINGEN

LWLDWL2–3 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 4–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Houtvenne	9	+12	22
2	Rochefort	10	+12	20
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+11	18
5	Roeselare Daisel	9	+9	18
6	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven II	9	+5	17
8	Meux	9	+3	17
9	Mandel United	8	+7	16
10	Merelbeke	9	+6	15
11	Heist	9	+5	14
12	Tubize	9	0	14
13	Thes Sport	9	+4	13
14	Dessel Sport	9	−1	12
15	Olympic Charleroi	9	−4	12
16	Spouwen-Mopertingen	9	−2	11
17	Hoogstraten	8	+4	10
18	Standard Liège II	8	+1	10
19	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
20	Knokke	9	−4	10
21	Tienen	8	0	9
22	Cercle Brugge II	8	−6	8
23	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
24	Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	8	−6	6
25	Onhaye	8	−10	6
26	Harelbeke	8	−17	4
27	Zelzate	9	−16	3
28	Flénu	9	−17	1