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Heist v Houtvenne

Heist

19:00Upcoming

Houtvenne

First Amateur Division · SAT 31 OCT · Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HeistDrawHoutvenne

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Heist 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Heist just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Heist 40%, draw 23%, Houtvenne 36%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Heist v HoutvenneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Heist win40%

Draw23%

Houtvenne win36%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 19:00

RoundVV · matchday 10

VenueGemeentelijk Sportcentrum

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Heist

Houtvenne

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · First Amateur Division

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Houtvenne	9	+12	22
11	Heist	9	+5	14

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · heist winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Heist a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Heist v Houtvenne~~1.72 – 1.61

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 19 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 22~~11 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Heist win	40%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Houtvenne win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Heist or draw	64%	–	–
Heist clean sheet	21%	–	–
Houtvenne clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.3 5.5 4.7 2.6 1 5.9 10.2 7.8 4.2 2 5.3 8.2 6.5 3.5 3 3.1 4.7 3.8 2.0 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Heist down, Houtvenne across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Heist at home: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Houtvenne away: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Heist, 1.61 for Houtvenne. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 19 Sept

HEIST

LLWDWW2–3 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 5–1

HOUTVENNE

WWLWWD3–0 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Houtvenne	9	+12	22
2	Rochefort	10	+12	20
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+11	18
5	Roeselare Daisel	9	+9	18
6	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven II	9	+5	17
8	Meux	9	+3	17
9	Mandel United	8	+7	16
10	Merelbeke	9	+6	15
11	Heist	9	+5	14
12	Tubize	9	0	14
13	Thes Sport	9	+4	13
14	Dessel Sport	9	−1	12
15	Olympic Charleroi	9	−4	12
16	Spouwen-Mopertingen	9	−2	11
17	Hoogstraten	8	+4	10
18	Standard Liège II	8	+1	10
19	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
20	Knokke	9	−4	10
21	Tienen	8	0	9
22	Cercle Brugge II	8	−6	8
23	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
24	Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	8	−6	6
25	Onhaye	8	−10	6
26	Harelbeke	8	−17	4
27	Zelzate	9	−16	3
28	Flénu	9	−17	1