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Model 1.1

Home › Football › First Amateur Division › Habay-la-Neuve v Albert Quévy-Mons

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Habay-la-Neuve v Albert Quévy-Mons

Habay-la-Neuve
2–2Full time
Albert Quévy-Mons

First Amateur Division · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56
Habay-la-Neuve 2–2 Albert Quévy-Mons ALBERT QUÉVY-MONS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Albert Quévy-Mons win53%
The market said62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.888
The market’s Brier score1.003

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Habay-la-Neuve win21%
Draw25%
Albert Quévy-Mons win53%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Habay-la-Neuve

Albert Quévy-Mons

8Days since last match4
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Albert Quévy-Mons7+811
23Habay-la-Neuve7−55

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · albert quévy-mons winPublished 11 Oct 16:05
53% The market62%
Us53%
Market62%

We make Albert Quévy-Mons a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.7.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:1711 OCT 04:01
Our probability · albert quévy-mons win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Habay-la-Neuve win21%16%+5
Draw25%23%+3
Albert Quévy-Mons win53%62%−8
Over 2.5 goals48%52%−4
Both teams to score50%49%0
Over 1.5 goals74%74%−1
Over 3.5 goals27%31%−5
Habay-la-Neuve or draw47%38%+8
Habay-la-Neuve clean sheet19%––
Albert Quévy-Mons clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%
0123450 8.1 11.7 10.1 5.6 2.4 1 6.5 11.9 9.3 5.2 2.2 2 3.4 5.4 4.4 2.5 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Habay-la-Neuve down, Albert Quévy-Mons across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting0.75
Over 2.50 of 4
Both scored0 of 4
Last meetingsHAB 0–1 ALB · ALB 0–0 HAB · HAB 0–0 ALB · ALB 2–0 HAB

Form · last six in First Amateur Division

HABAY-LA-NEUVE

LLDWDL2–4 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–1

ALBERT QUÉVY-MONS

LWDWWL0–1 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 5–2 · 4–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1RWDM8+619
2Houtvenne7+1118
3Rochefort8+1017
4Roeselare Daisel7+814
5Meux8+214
6Tubize8+114
7Oud-Heverlee Leuven II6+212
8Albert Quévy-Mons7+811
9Merelbeke6+511
10Union Saint-Gilloise II7+211
11Dessel Sport7011
12Mandel United6+310
13Sporting Charleroi II8+110
14Knokke7010
15Hoogstraten7+49
16Thes Sport6+29
17Olympic Charleroi7−29
18Tienen6+48
19Spouwen-Mopertingen607
20Heist6−37
21Lyra-Lierse Berlaar6−46
22Onhaye7−76
23Habay-la-Neuve7−55
24Standard Liège II6−34
25Cercle Brugge II6−74
26Zelzate7−103
27Flénu7−131
28Harelbeke6−151

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.