Flénu v Tubize prediction · First Amateur Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FlénuDrawTubize

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Tubize 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tubize are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Flénu 16%, draw 19%, Tubize 64%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Flénu v TubizeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Flénu win16%

Draw19%

Tubize win64%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundACFF · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Flénu

Tubize

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · First Amateur Division

Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Tubize	9	0	14
12	Flénu	9	−17	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tubize winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Tubize a 64% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.3, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Flénu v Tubize~~1.09 – 2.34

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 14~~12 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Flénu win	16%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Tubize win	64%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Flénu or draw	36%	–	–
Flénu clean sheet	10%	–	–
Tubize clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.3%

0123450 3.9 7.5 8.9 6.8 4.1 1 3.4 8.6 9.3 7.2 4.3 2.12 2.0 4.5 5.1 3.9 2.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Flénu down, Tubize across0–5 goals a side shown (96.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Flénu at home: 1.75 scored, 3.75 conceded a game (last 4). Tubize away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.09 goals for Flénu, 2.34 for Tubize. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 12 Sept

FLÉNU

LLLLLL1–4 · 1–2 · 3–4 · 0–4 · 2–5 · 0–1

TUBIZE

DWDWLL2–2 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rochefort	10	+12	20
2	Meux	9	+8	19
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
5	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+6	17
6	Tubize	9	0	14
7	Standard Liège II	9	+6	13
8	Olympic Charleroi	10	−9	12
9	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
10	Onhaye	8	−10	6
11	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
12	Flénu	9	−17	1