Dessel Sport v Spouwen-Mopertingen

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dessel Sport win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Dessel Sport 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–21–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Dessel Sport v Spouwen-Mopertingen
4. 12′Dessel Sport score on 12′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 62–18–20
5. 12′We said Dessel Sport at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 62%. 1–0 · 62–18–20
6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Dessel Sport 1–0 Spouwen-Mopertingen
7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Dessel Sport win: 40% at kick-off, 62% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 4.0 we expected. 1–0 · 64–20–16
9. 33′Spouwen-Mopertingen find the net on 32′. 1–1. 1–1 · 37–27–36
10. 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' Dessel Sport 1–1 Spouwen-Mopertingen
11. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Dessel Sport win: 40% at kick-off, 37% now
12. 39′A goal for Dessel Sport on 39′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 65–21–14
13. 39′We said Dessel Sport at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 2–1 · 65–21–14
14. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Dessel Sport 2–1 Spouwen-Mopertingen
15. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Dessel Sport win: 40% at kick-off, 65% now
16. 43′Spouwen-Mopertingen score on 43′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 35–30–34
17. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Dessel Sport 2–2 Spouwen-Mopertingen
18. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Dessel Sport win: 40% at kick-off, 35% now
19. 44′That is 4, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 35–31–34
20. 45′HALF-TIME Dessel Sport 2–2 Spouwen-Mopertingen
21. 46′SECOND HALF Dessel Sport 2–2 Spouwen-Mopertingen
22. 50′Spouwen-Mopertingen find the net on 49′. 2–3. 2–3 · 12–22–66
23. 50′We said Dessel Sport at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 2–3 · 12–22–66
24. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Dessel Sport 2–3 Spouwen-Mopertingen
25. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Dessel Sport win: 40% at kick-off, 12% now
26. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Spouwen-Mopertingen win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Dessel Sport win 12%)
27. 51′5 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 12–22–66
28. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Dessel Sport win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
29. 58′We said Dessel Sport at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–3 · 9–22–69
30. 60′A goal for Dessel Sport on 60′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 31–40–30
31. 60′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 31–40–30
32. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Dessel Sport 3–3 Spouwen-Mopertingen
33. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Dessel Sport win: 40% at kick-off, 31% now
34. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Spouwen-Mopertingen win 30%)
35. 65′We said Dessel Sport at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 3–3 · 28–44–27
36. 66′Spouwen-Mopertingen score on 65′ to make it 3–4. 3–4 · 7–21–72
37. 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Dessel Sport 3–4 Spouwen-Mopertingen
38. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Dessel Sport win: 40% at kick-off, 7% now
39. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Spouwen-Mopertingen win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 21%)
40. 67′7 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–4 · 6–21–73
41. 72′We said Dessel Sport at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–4 · 4–20–76
42. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Dessel Sport win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
43. FTFULL TIME Dessel Sport 3–4 Spouwen-Mopertingen
44. FTDessel Sport 3–4 Spouwen-Mopertingen · Dessel Sport win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.