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Dessel Sport v Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Dessel Sport
Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIFirst Amateur Division · SAT 24 OCT · Armand Melis Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dessel Sport win at 48%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Dessel Sport 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–19–33
- 1′KICK-OFF Dessel Sport v Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
- 14′A goal for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II on 14′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 28–19–53
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Dessel Sport 0–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Dessel Sport win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
- 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Dessel Sport win 47%)
- 15′We said Dessel Sport at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–19–53
- 27′We said Dessel Sport at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–21–55
- 43′We said Dessel Sport at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–58
- 45′HALF-TIME Dessel Sport 0–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Dessel Sport win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Dessel Sport 0–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
- 56′We said Dessel Sport at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
- 64′Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score on 63′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–89
- 64′We said Dessel Sport at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–89
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 63' Dessel Sport 0–2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Dessel Sport win: 48% at kick-off, 2% now
- 79′Dessel Sport find the net on 78′. 1–2. 1–2 · 3–18–79
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Dessel Sport 1–2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
- 91′A goal for Dessel Sport on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 6–88–5
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Dessel Sport 2–2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
- 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win 92%)
- 92′We said Dessel Sport at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 2–2 · 5–90–4
- FTFULL TIME Dessel Sport 2–2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
- FTDessel Sport 2–2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II · Dessel Sport win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–2 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Dessel Sport are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Dessel Sport 48%, draw 19%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 33%. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 80%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Dessel Sport win48%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win33%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:30
RoundVV · matchday 9
VenueArmand Melis Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Dessel SportMIN
Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dessel Sport
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division
Last match: 18 Oct · First Amateur Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Dessel Sport a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.6–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 48% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dessel Sport win | 48% | 36% | +12 |
| Draw | 19% | 24% | −5 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win | 33% | 40% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 73% | +10 |
| Both teams to score | 80% | 72% | +8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% | 86% | +8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 67% | 54% | +13 |
| Dessel Sport or draw | 67% | 60% | +7 |
| Dessel Sport clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 11 Sept
DESSEL SPORT
OUD-HEVERLEE LEUVEN II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houtvenne | 8 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | RWDM | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rochefort | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 9 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Meux | 9 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Mandel United | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 7 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 8 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 9 | +10 | 15 |
| 9 | Roeselare Daisel | 8 | +8 | 15 |
| 10 | Merelbeke | 8 | +6 | 14 |
| 11 | Tubize | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Thes Sport | 9 | +4 | 13 |
| 13 | Olympic Charleroi | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Heist | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 15 | Dessel Sport | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 16 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 9 | −2 | 11 |
| 17 | Hoogstraten | 8 | +4 | 10 |
| 18 | Standard Liège II | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 | Sporting Charleroi II | 9 | −1 | 10 |
| 20 | Knokke | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 21 | Tienen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 22 | Cercle Brugge II | 8 | −6 | 8 |
| 23 | Habay-la-Neuve | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 24 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 8 | −6 | 6 |
| 25 | Onhaye | 8 | −10 | 6 |
| 26 | Harelbeke | 8 | −17 | 4 |
| 27 | Zelzate | 8 | −12 | 3 |
| 28 | Flénu | 9 | −17 | 1 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Houtvenne
RWDM
Rochefort
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Meux
Mandel United
Albert Quévy-Mons
Roeselare Daisel
Merelbeke
Tubize
Thes Sport
Olympic Charleroi
Heist
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Hoogstraten
Standard Liège II
Sporting Charleroi II
Knokke
Tienen
Cercle Brugge II
Habay-la-Neuve
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Onhaye
Harelbeke
Zelzate
Flénu