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Cercle Brugge II v Hoogstraten

Cercle Brugge II

14:00Upcoming

Hoogstraten

First Amateur Division · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Cercle Brugge IIDrawHoogstraten

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hoogstraten 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hoogstraten are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cercle Brugge II 32%, draw 23%, Hoogstraten 45%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Cercle Brugge II v HoogstratenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Cercle Brugge II win32%

Draw23%

Hoogstraten win45%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundVV · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cercle Brugge II

Hoogstraten

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · First Amateur Division

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
17	Hoogstraten	8	+4	10
22	Cercle Brugge II	8	−6	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hoogstraten winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

45% The market42%

Us45%

~~Market~~42%

We make Hoogstraten a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cercle Brugge II v Hoogstraten~~1.57 – 1.88

~~Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 10~~22 v 17

~~The market · Hoogstraten win~~42% · ours 45%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hoogstraten win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cercle Brugge II win	32%	32%	0
Draw	23%	25%	−2
Hoogstraten win	45%	42%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	66%	63%	+3
Both teams to score	66%	65%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	86%	80%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	45%	43%	+2
Cercle Brugge II or draw	55%	58%	−3
Cercle Brugge II clean sheet	16%	–	–
Hoogstraten clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 3.8 5.7 5.6 3.5 1 4.8 9.7 8.5 5.3 2.6 2 4.0 7.2 6.6 4.1 3 2.1 3.8 3.5 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cercle Brugge II down, Hoogstraten across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,907 First Amateur Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: First Amateur Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.2% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cercle Brugge II at home: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Hoogstraten away: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.57 goals for Cercle Brugge II, 1.88 for Hoogstraten. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~CER 1–0 HOO · HOO 4–1 CER · HOO 2–4 CER · CER 2–4 HOO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 12 Sept

CERCLE BRUGGE II

WLLLWD2–1 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 2–2

HOOGSTRATEN

DLDWWD4–4 · 1–2 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Houtvenne	9	+12	22
2	Rochefort	10	+12	20
3	RWDM	10	+3	19
4	Albert Quévy-Mons	10	+11	18
5	Roeselare Daisel	9	+9	18
6	Union Saint-Gilloise II	9	+7	17
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven II	9	+5	17
8	Meux	9	+3	17
9	Mandel United	8	+7	16
10	Merelbeke	9	+6	15
11	Heist	9	+5	14
12	Tubize	9	0	14
13	Thes Sport	9	+4	13
14	Dessel Sport	9	−1	12
15	Olympic Charleroi	9	−4	12
16	Spouwen-Mopertingen	9	−2	11
17	Hoogstraten	8	+4	10
18	Standard Liège II	8	+1	10
19	Sporting Charleroi II	9	−1	10
20	Knokke	9	−4	10
21	Tienen	8	0	9
22	Cercle Brugge II	8	−6	8
23	Habay-la-Neuve	8	−5	6
24	Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	8	−6	6
25	Onhaye	8	−10	6
26	Harelbeke	8	−17	4
27	Zelzate	9	−16	3
28	Flénu	9	−17	1