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Home › Football › First Amateur Division › Albert Quévy-Mons v Rochefort

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Albert Quévy-Mons v Rochefort

Albert Quévy-Mons
2–0Full time
Rochefort

First Amateur Division · WED 21 OCT

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 21:30
Albert Quévy-Mons 2–0 Rochefort ALBERT QUÉVY-MONS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Albert Quévy-Mons win59%
The market said48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.248
The market’s Brier score0.403

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Albert Quévy-Mons win at 59%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Albert Quévy-Mons 59% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 59–22–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Albert Quévy-Mons v Rochefort
  4. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
  5. 43′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 47–35–18
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Albert Quévy-Mons 0–0 Rochefort
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Albert Quévy-Mons 0–0 Rochefort
  8. 49′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
  9. 53′Albert Quévy-Mons score on 53′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 83–14–3
  10. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Albert Quévy-Mons 1–0 Rochefort
  11. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 59% at kick-off, 83% now
  12. 54′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–14–3
  13. 64′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  14. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
  15. 77′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  16. 78′Albert Quévy-Mons find the net on 78′. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  17. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Albert Quévy-Mons 2–0 Rochefort
  18. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Albert Quévy-Mons win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
  19. 79′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  20. 80′We said Albert Quévy-Mons at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  21. FTFULL TIME Albert Quévy-Mons 2–0 Rochefort
  22. FTAlbert Quévy-Mons 2–0 Rochefort · Albert Quévy-Mons win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Albert Quévy-Mons are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Albert Quévy-Mons 59%, draw 22%, Rochefort 18%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Albert Quévy-Mons v RochefortBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Albert Quévy-Mons win59%
Draw22%
Rochefort win18%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:00

RoundACFF · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Albert Quévy-Mons

Rochefort

4Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · the Belgian Cup

Last match: 18 Oct · the Belgian Cup

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Rochefort8+1017
8Albert Quévy-Mons8+311

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · albert quévy-mons winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
59% The market48%
Us59%
Market48%

We make Albert Quévy-Mons a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Albert Quévy-Mons v Rochefort1.96 – 0.98
Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 11 v 178 v 3
The market · Albert Quévy-Mons win48% · ours 59%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65% 15 OCT 04:3321 OCT 18:36
Our probability · Albert Quévy-Mons win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Albert Quévy-Mons win59%48%+11
Draw22%26%−4
Rochefort win18%26%−8
Over 2.5 goals56%55%+1
Both teams to score53%57%−4
Over 1.5 goals79%77%+2
Over 3.5 goals34%35%−1
Albert Quévy-Mons or draw82%74%+8
Albert Quévy-Mons clean sheet38%––
Rochefort clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%
0123450 6.0 4.9 2.6 1 10.1 10.4 4.9 2 10.1 9.6 4.7 3 6.6 6.3 3.1 4 3.3 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Albert Quévy-Mons down, Rochefort across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.20
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored3 of 10
Last meetingsROC 1–3 ALB · ALB 3–0 ROC · ROC 3–1 ALB · ALB 5–0 ROC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in First Amateur Division this season · since 5 Sept

ALBERT QUÉVY-MONS

WDWWLD3–0 · 2–2 · 5–2 · 4–0 · 2–3 · 2–2

ROCHEFORT

WLDDWW4–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Meux9+819
2RWDM9+419
3Rochefort8+1017
4Union Saint-Gilloise II9+717
5Tubize9014
6Standard Liège II9+613
7Olympic Charleroi9−512
8Albert Quévy-Mons8+311
9Sporting Charleroi II9−110
10Onhaye8−106
11Habay-la-Neuve8−56
12Flénu9−171

The competition's standings before kick-off.