Sporting Hasselt v Cercle Brugge
Sporting HasseltCercle BruggeCup · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cercle Brugge win at 59%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Cercle Brugge was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 19–21–60
- 1′KICK-OFF Sporting Hasselt v Cercle Brugge
- 11′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Cercle Brugge
- 19′Cercle Brugge find the net on 18′. 0–0 · 19–25–55
- 20′We published Cercle Brugge at 59%. Our model now makes it 81%. 0–1 · 6–13–81
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 18' Sporting Hasselt 0–1 Cercle Brugge
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Cercle Brugge win: 59% at kick-off, 81% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 5–14–81
- 45′HALF-TIME Sporting Hasselt 0–1 Cercle Brugge
- 45′SECOND HALF Sporting Hasselt 0–1 Cercle Brugge
- 48′We published Cercle Brugge at 59%. Our model now makes it 96%. 0–2 · 1–3–96
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Sporting Hasselt 0–2 Cercle Brugge
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Cercle Brugge win: 59% at kick-off, 96% now
- 49′A goal for Cercle Brugge on 48′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
- 51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Sporting Hasselt
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Cercle Brugge win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
- 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Cercle Brugge
- 80′We published Cercle Brugge at 59%. Our model now makes it 91%. 1–2 · 1–8–91
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Sporting Hasselt 1–2 Cercle Brugge
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Cercle Brugge win: 59% at kick-off, 91% now
- 81′Sporting Hasselt score on 81′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–8–92
- 90′Full time, 1–2. We called Cercle Brugge at 59% — that one lands. 1–2 · 0–0–100
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Cercle Brugge
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Cercle Brugge win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
- FTFULL TIME Sporting Hasselt 1–2 Cercle Brugge
- FTSporting Hasselt 1–2 Cercle Brugge · Cercle Brugge win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassCercle Brugge are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sporting Hasselt 19%, draw 22%, Cercle Brugge 59%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Sporting Hasselt win19%Cercle Brugge win59%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:30
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
Sporting HasseltMINCercle BruggeEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Sporting Hasselt
Cercle Brugge
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sporting Hasselt
Cercle Brugge
Last match: 10 Oct · Challenger Pro League
Last match: 10 Oct · Jupiler Pro League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Sporting Hasselt
Formation not confirmed
27 M. Roekaerts
5 L. Lucker
15 A. Labie
3 C. Thiam
8 L. Masscho
17 L. Vankerkhoven
23 N. Gerits
10 M. Bounou
11 L. Milts
9 S. Van Keymolen
18 J. Ngoyi
Coach · Jo Christiaens
Substitutes
99 · L. Cascio
6 · N. Verburgh
22 · M. Dassen
74 · E. Butera
13 · R. Sanusi
80 · A. Matoka
7 · G. Hairemans
29 · W. Da Costa
14 · N. Orye
Cercle Brugge
Formation not confirmed
21 Y. Lienard
12 V. Konate
24 G. Kondo
5 E. Kakou
15 G. Magnee
18 L. Le Roux
28 H. van der Bruggen
20 A. Manneh
11 C. Herrmann
9 S. Ngoura
30 T. Akinsola
Coach · Lars Friis
Substitutes
1 · G. Coucke
2 · I. Diakite
33 · R. Caicedo
45 · T. Adaramola
8 · Erick Nunes
10 · L. Amani
42 · L. Mondele
71 · V. Martens
41 · K. Kouassi
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Sporting Hasselt
Formation not confirmed
27 M. Roekaerts
5 L. Lucker
15 A. Labie
3 C. Thiam
8 L. Masscho
17 L. Vankerkhoven
23 N. Gerits
10 M. Bounou
11 L. Milts
9 S. Van Keymolen
18 J. Ngoyi
Coach · Jo Christiaens
Substitutes
99 · L. Cascio
6 · N. Verburgh
22 · M. Dassen
74 · E. Butera
13 · R. Sanusi
80 · A. Matoka
7 · G. Hairemans
29 · W. Da Costa
14 · N. Orye
Cercle Brugge
Formation not confirmed
21 Y. Lienard
12 V. Konate
24 G. Kondo
5 E. Kakou
15 G. Magnee
18 L. Le Roux
28 H. van der Bruggen
20 A. Manneh
11 C. Herrmann
9 S. Ngoura
30 T. Akinsola
Coach · Lars Friis
Substitutes
1 · G. Coucke
2 · I. Diakite
33 · R. Caicedo
45 · T. Adaramola
8 · Erick Nunes
10 · L. Amani
42 · L. Mondele
71 · V. Martens
41 · K. Kouassi
We make Cercle Brugge a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 57%, 59% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Hasselt win | 19% | 22% | −3 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Cercle Brugge win | 59% | 55% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 57% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 80% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 39% | −3 |
| Sporting Hasselt or draw | 41% | 45% | −4 |
| Sporting Hasselt clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Cercle Brugge clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 26 Sept
SPORTING HASSELT
CERCLE BRUGGE
No matches in our record yet.