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KVC Westerlo v Patro Eisden

KVC Westerlo
2–0Full time
Patro Eisden

Cup · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 22:01
KVC Westerlo 2–0 Patro Eisden KVC WESTERLO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said KVC Westerlo win74%
The market said64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.102
The market’s Brier score0.200

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said KVC Westerlo win at 74%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: KVC Westerlo was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 74% now. 0–0 · 74–15–11
  3. 1′KICK-OFF KVC Westerlo v Patro Eisden
  4. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' KVC Westerlo
  5. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' KVC Westerlo win: 74% at kick-off, 64% now
  6. 38′We said KVC Westerlo at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 62%. 0–0 · 62–25–13
  7. 44′We said KVC Westerlo at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–28–13
  8. 45′KVC Westerlo find the net on 45′. 1–0. 1–0 · 87–10–3
  9. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' KVC Westerlo 1–0 Patro Eisden
  10. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' KVC Westerlo win: 74% at kick-off, 87% now
  11. 45′HALF-TIME KVC Westerlo 1–0 Patro Eisden
  12. 46′We published KVC Westerlo at 74%. Our model now makes it 87%. 1–0 · 87–10–3
  13. 46′KVC Westerlo ahead on 44′ through C. Sandra. 1–0. 1–0 · 87–10–3
  14. 46′SECOND HALF KVC Westerlo 1–0 Patro Eisden
  15. 73′We published KVC Westerlo at 74%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  16. 76′A goal for KVC Westerlo on 75′. 1–0 · 91–9–1
  17. 76′We published KVC Westerlo at 74%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  18. 76′⚽ GOAL · 75' KVC Westerlo 2–0 Patro Eisden
  19. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' KVC Westerlo win: 74% at kick-off, 99% now
  20. 79′We published KVC Westerlo at 74%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  21. 90′Full time, 2–0. We called KVC Westerlo at 74% — that one lands. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  22. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' KVC Westerlo
  23. FTFULL TIME KVC Westerlo 2–0 Patro Eisden
  24. FTKVC Westerlo 2–0 Patro Eisden · KVC Westerlo win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

KVC Westerlo are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: KVC Westerlo 74%, draw 15%, Patro Eisden 11%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on KVC Westerlo v Patro EisdenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

KVC Westerlo win74%
Draw15%
Patro Eisden win11%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:30

RoundRound of 32

Line-ups

KVC Westerlo

Patro Eisden

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

KVC Westerlo

Patro Eisden

5Days since last match5

Last match: 11 Oct · Jupiler Pro League

Last match: 11 Oct · Challenger Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

KVC Westerlo

Formation not confirmed

99 A. Jungdal

6 R. Munz

7 S. Saito

9 N. Bassette

12 R. Laalaoui

14 C. Sandra

23 L. Mbamba-Muanda

28 D. Ourega

40 B. Balogh

45 I. Fofana

47 Yang Min-Hyuk

Coach · Issame Charai

Substitutes

1 · B. Lathouwers

2 · L. Flo

4 · A. Lapage

11 · N. Bohamdi-Kamoni

13 · I. Sakamoto

22 · E. Tsimba

26 · P. Diong

39 · T. Van den Keybus

88 · F. Ferraro

Patro Eisden

Formation not confirmed

37 K. Van Langendonck

2 L. Dietz

4 R. Nainggolan

9 Z. Atteri

10 T. Kasayanagi

15 S. Lahssaini

20 R. Takaoka

22 H. Mnoga

24 K. Borry

27 J. Munezero

33 L. Verstraete

Coach · Emilio Ferrera

Substitutes

1 · J. Belin

5 · H. Jahic

7 · Hong Seok-ju

34 · T. Loutfi

62 · A. Penin

77 · I. Delpupo

88 · J. Bokila

18 · J. Kaparos

70 · A. Saidiba

Our number · kvc westerlo winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 16 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off
74% The market64%
Us74%
Market64%

We make KVC Westerlo a 74% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.7–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · KVC Westerlo v Patro Eisden2.70 – 0.95
The market · KVC Westerlo win64% · ours 74%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70%75%80% 10 OCT 04:0216 OCT 19:16
Our probability · KVC Westerlo win The market, margin stripped

Published at 73%, 74% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
KVC Westerlo win74%64%+10
Draw15%20%−5
Patro Eisden win11%16%−5
Over 2.5 goals71%63%+8
Both teams to score57%57%0
Over 1.5 goals88%83%+5
Over 3.5 goals50%42%+8
KVC Westerlo or draw89%84%+5
KVC Westerlo clean sheet39%––
Patro Eisden clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.5%
0123450 2.8 2.3 1 6.8 6.9 3.2 2 9.5 9.0 4.3 3 8.5 8.1 3.9 4 5.7 5.5 2.6 5 3.1 3.0
under 2% 5% 12%+KVC Westerlo down, Patro Eisden across0–5 goals a side shown (94.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 26 Sept

KVC WESTERLO

No matches in our record yet.

PATRO EISDEN

W2–1