Beerschot VA v Anderlecht
Beerschot VAAnderlechtCup · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Anderlecht win at 58%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Anderlecht 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 19–24–58
- 1′KICK-OFF Beerschot VA v Anderlecht
- 20′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Anderlecht
- 22′Beerschot VA find the net on 22′. 1–0. 1–0 · 47–27–26
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Beerschot VA 1–0 Anderlecht
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Anderlecht win: 58% at kick-off, 26% now
- 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Beerschot VA win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Anderlecht win 26%)
- 23′We said Anderlecht at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–0 · 48–27–26
- 26′We said Anderlecht at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 49–27–24
- 27′Beerschot VA ahead on 21′ through A. Haj Mohamed. 1–0. 1–0 · 49–27–24
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 50–27–23
- 40′We said Anderlecht at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 53–28–19
- 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Beerschot VA
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Anderlecht win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Beerschot VA 1–0 Anderlecht
- 46′SECOND HALF Beerschot VA 1–0 Anderlecht
- 50′We said Anderlecht at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 58–28–14
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Beerschot VA
- 61′We said Anderlecht at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 64–26–9
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Anderlecht win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Anderlecht
- 72′We said Anderlecht at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 74–22–4
- 72′A goal for Beerschot VA on 72′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Beerschot VA 2–0 Anderlecht
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Anderlecht
- 87′Anderlecht score on 86′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 92–8–0
- 87′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 92–8–0
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Beerschot VA 2–1 Anderlecht
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Anderlecht
- 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Beerschot VA
- FTFULL TIME Beerschot VA 2–1 Anderlecht
- FTBeerschot VA 2–1 Anderlecht · Anderlecht win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Anderlecht are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Beerschot VA 19%, draw 23%, Anderlecht 58%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Beerschot VA win19%Anderlecht win58%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:00
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
Beerschot VAMINAnderlechtEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Beerschot VA
Anderlecht
Last match: 10 Oct · Challenger Pro League
Last match: 15 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Anderlecht a 58% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 59%, 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA win | 19% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| Anderlecht win | 58% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – | – |
| Beerschot VA or draw | 42% | – | – |
| Beerschot VA clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Anderlecht clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 27 Sept
BEERSCHOT VA
ANDERLECHT
No matches in our record yet.