

Albert Quévy-Mons v Charleroi
Albert Quévy-Mons
CharleroiCup · SAT 17 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 0–0, the score after 90 minutes. It finished 0–1 after extra time.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Charleroi win at 64%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Charleroi 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 13–23–64
- 1′KICK-OFF Albert Quévy-Mons v Charleroi
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Charleroi win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
- 36′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 0–0 · 14–34–52
- 43′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 14–37–49
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Charleroi
- 45′HALF-TIME Albert Quévy-Mons 0–0 Charleroi
- 46′SECOND HALF Albert Quévy-Mons 0–0 Charleroi
- 52′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 13–43–44
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Charleroi win: 64% at kick-off, 44% now
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 13–45–42
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Charleroi win 41%)
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Albert Quévy-Mons
- 59′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 12–49–39
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Charleroi · On: F. Mbemba · Off: G. Nawata
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Charleroi · On: P. Pflucke · Off: T. Rowe
- 65′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 11–55–34
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Charleroi win: 64% at kick-off, 34% now
- 70′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 10–61–29
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Charleroi · On: A. Colassin · Off: J. Romsaas
- 75′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 8–68–24
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Charleroi win: 64% at kick-off, 24% now
- 80′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–0 · 6–77–17
- 82′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 5–81–14
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Charleroi win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
- 86′We said Charleroi at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 3–87–9
- 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 50%. 0–0 · 12–50–38
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Albert Quévy-Mons
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Charleroi
- 96′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 56%. 0–0 · 11–56–33
- 103′Charleroi score on 102′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 1–8–91
- 103′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Charleroi likeliest at 91%. 0–1 · 1–8–91
- 103′⚽ GOAL · 102' Albert Quévy-Mons 0–1 Charleroi
- 105′🟨 YELLOW · 105' Charleroi
- 130′102′: C. Keita on the scoresheet for Charleroi, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 0–1–99
- FTFULL TIME Albert Quévy-Mons 0–1 Charleroi after extra time
- FTAlbert Quévy-Mons 0–0 Charleroi after 90 minutes, as graded · Charleroi win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassCharleroi are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Albert Quévy-Mons 13%, draw 23%, Charleroi 64%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Albert Quévy-Mons win13%
Charleroi win64%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:30
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
Albert Quévy-MonsMIN
CharleroiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Albert Quévy-Mons
Charleroi
Last match: 11 Oct · First Amateur Division
Last match: 11 Oct · Jupiler Pro League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Charleroi a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 78%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 60%, 64% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 78% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Quévy-Mons win | 13% | 8% | +5 |
| Draw | 23% | 14% | +9 |
| Charleroi win | 64% | 78% | −14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 69% | −23 |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 51% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 85% | −13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 50% | −26 |
| Albert Quévy-Mons or draw | 36% | 22% | +14 |
| Albert Quévy-Mons clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Charleroi clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 26 Sept
ALBERT QUÉVY-MONS
CHARLEROI
No matches in our record yet.