Seraing United v Excelsior Virton

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Excelsior Virton win at 42%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Excelsior Virton 42% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 34–25–41
3. 1′KICK-OFF Seraing United v Excelsior Virton
4. 23′We said Excelsior Virton at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 1–0 · 62–23–15
5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Seraing United 1–0 Excelsior Virton
6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Excelsior Virton win: 42% at kick-off, 15% now
7. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Seraing United win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Excelsior Virton win 38%)
8. 24′22′: Saliou Faye on the scoresheet for Seraing United, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 62–23–15
9. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Aliou Dembele · Excelsior Virton
10. 25′SUBSTITUTION · 24' Excelsior Virton · On: Ihab Goudani El Baraka · Off: Yassine Ben·Hamed
11. 26′We said Excelsior Virton at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 62–23–14
12. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 63–23–13
13. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Excelsior Virton win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
14. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Seraing United 1–1 Excelsior Virton
15. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Excelsior Virton win: 42% at kick-off, 35% now
16. 39′Excelsior Virton level it on 38′ through Paul Wade. 1–1. 1–1 · 29–36–35
17. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Paul Wade · Excelsior Virton
18. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Seraing United win 65%)
19. 45′HALF-TIME Seraing United 1–1 Excelsior Virton
20. 46′SECOND HALF Seraing United 1–1 Excelsior Virton
21. 53′We said Excelsior Virton at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 26–44–30
22. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Excelsior Virton · On: Antoine Valerio · Off: Tyron Tormin
23. 55′We said Excelsior Virton at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 25–45–29
24. 57′We said Excelsior Virton at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 2–1 · 71–22–7
25. 57′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 71–22–7
26. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Seraing United 2–1 Excelsior Virton
27. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Excelsior Virton win: 42% at kick-off, 7% now
28. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Seraing United win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 46%)
29. 58′Anas Namri scores for Seraing United on 56′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 72–22–6
30. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Fostave Mabani · Seraing United
31. 65′We said Excelsior Virton at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–20–4
32. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Excelsior Virton · On: Marks Inchaud · Off: Teddy Mézague
33. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Seraing United · On: Nabil Bouchentouf · Off: Tom Lockman
34. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Excelsior Virton win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
35. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Ihab Goudani El Baraka · Excelsior Virton
36. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Seraing United · On: Y. Lawson · Off: Saliou Faye
37. 92′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 3–94–3
38. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Seraing United 2–2 Excelsior Virton
39. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Seraing United win 96%)
40. 94′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+4' Excelsior Virton
41. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Seraing United win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 96%)
42. 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+7' Seraing United 3–1 Excelsior Virton
43. 98′90′: Fostave Mabani on the scoresheet for Seraing United, making it 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
44. FTFULL TIME Seraing United 3–1 Excelsior Virton
45. FTSeraing United 3–1 Excelsior Virton · Excelsior Virton win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.