RSC Anderlecht II v K. Lierse S.K. prediction · Challenger Pro League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Close to call, with K. Lierse S.K. just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: RSC Anderlecht II 37%, draw 23%, K. Lierse S.K. 41%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on RSC Anderlecht II v K. Lierse S.K.Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · postponed, not graded

RSC Anderlecht II win37%

Draw23%

K. Lierse S.K. win41%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueLotto Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RSC Anderlecht II

K. Lierse S.K.

14Days since last match13

Last match: 9 Oct · Challenger Pro League

Last match: 10 Oct · Challenger Pro League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	K. Lierse S.K.	6	−1	8
15	RSC Anderlecht II	7	−10	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · k. lierse s.k. winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · postponed, not graded

41% The market38%

Us41%

~~Market~~38%

We make K. Lierse S.K. a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · RSC Anderlecht II v K. Lierse S.K.~~1.47 – 1.57

~~Form · last six in Challenger Pro League this season · since 15 Aug~~W0 D1 L5 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 8~~15 v 8

~~The market · K. Lierse S.K. win~~38% · ours 41%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · K. Lierse S.K. win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
RSC Anderlecht II win	37%	35%	+2
Draw	23%	26%	−3
K. Lierse S.K. win	41%	38%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	58%	59%	−1
Both teams to score	60%	62%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	80%	80%	0
Over 3.5 goals	36%	38%	−2
RSC Anderlecht II or draw	59%	62%	−3
RSC Anderlecht II clean sheet	21%	–	–
K. Lierse S.K. clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.3 8.2 5.9 3.1 1 7.8 10.3 8.5 4.5 2 5.2 8.0 6.3 3.3 3 2.6 4.0 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+RSC Anderlecht II down, K. Lierse S.K. across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,100 Challenger Pro League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Challenger Pro League matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.60 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

RSC Anderlecht II at home: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). K. Lierse S.K. away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for RSC Anderlecht II, 1.57 for K. Lierse S.K.. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.60

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~RSC 2–2 KLI · KLI 1–0 RSC · KLI 3–1 RSC · RSC 2–0 KLI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Challenger Pro League this season · since 15 Aug

RSC ANDERLECHT II

LLDLLL0–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 2–6 · 2–3 · 0–2

K. LIERSE S.K.

LWDDLW0–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Beerschot VA	7	+12	18
2	Dender	7	+9	18
3	AS Eupen	6	+8	15
4	Francs Borains	6	+2	12
5	Sporting Hasselt	7	−2	12
6	Excelsior Virton	6	+5	10
7	Lokeren-Temse	6	+2	10
8	K. Lierse S.K.	6	−1	8
9	Club Brugge II	6	−2	8
10	KAA Gent II	6	−2	8
11	KRC Genk II	7	−3	7
12	Patro Eisden	7	−4	6
13	Liège	7	−7	5
14	Seraing United	7	−7	2
15	RSC Anderlecht II	7	−10	1