Home › Football › Premier League › ML Vitebsk v Torpedo Zhodino
Back

ML Vitebsk v Torpedo Zhodino
ML Vitebsk
Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League · THU 15 OCT · Tikhinichi Sportcomplex
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said ML Vitebsk win at 60%.
- 3′Much as we predicted: ML Vitebsk was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–23–18
- 3′KICK-OFF ML Vitebsk v Torpedo Zhodino
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' ML Vitebsk win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
- 39′We said ML Vitebsk at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 48–34–17
- 39′GOAL DISALLOWED · 39' ML Vitebsk
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' ML Vitebsk win: 60% at kick-off, 48% now
- 40′A goal for ML Vitebsk on 38′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–14–4
- 40′We published ML Vitebsk at 60%. Our model now makes it 83%. 1–0 · 83–14–4
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 38' ML Vitebsk 1–0 Torpedo Zhodino
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' ML Vitebsk win: 60% at kick-off, 83% now
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' ML Vitebsk 1–0 Torpedo Zhodino · Denilho Cleonise
- 41′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 83–14–4
- 45′HALF-TIME ML Vitebsk 1–0 Torpedo Zhodino
- 47′SECOND HALF ML Vitebsk 1–0 Torpedo Zhodino
- 57′We published ML Vitebsk at 60%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' ML Vitebsk · On: M. Bulanov · Off: Radivoj Bosić
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Torpedo Zhodino · On: Grigoriy Martyanov · Off: Aleksandr Lomovitskiy
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Torpedo Zhodino · On: Vladislav Nalivayko · Off: Timofey Sharkovskiy
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' ML Vitebsk · On: Ode abdullahi · Off: Silas Gnaka
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' ML Vitebsk · On: Valeri Gromyko · Off: Aleksandar Mesarovic
- 74′73′: Artem Kontsevoy on the scoresheet for ML Vitebsk, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' ML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino · Artem Kontsevoy (assist Denilho Cleonise)
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' ML Vitebsk win: 60% at kick-off, 99% now
- 75′We published ML Vitebsk at 60%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Torpedo Zhodino · On: Dmitriy Yusov · Off: Aleksandr Frantsuzov
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Torpedo Zhodino · On: Maxim Gaevoy · Off: Kirill Premudrov
- 78′We published ML Vitebsk at 60%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' ML Vitebsk win: 60% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' ML Vitebsk · On: Timur Ivanov · Off: Artem Kontsevoy
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' ML Vitebsk · On: Milad Mohammadi · Off: Denilho Cleonise
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Torpedo Zhodino · On: Arseniy Ageev · Off: Artem Bykov
- FTFULL TIME ML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino
- FTML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino · ML Vitebsk win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassML Vitebsk are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: ML Vitebsk 60%, draw 22%, Torpedo Zhodino 18%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 13:28 · locked at kick-off
ML Vitebsk win60%
Torpedo Zhodino win18%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 18:30
RoundMatchday 16
VenueTikhinichi Sportcomplex
Match timeline
All events
ML VitebskMIN
Torpedo ZhodinoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
ML Vitebsk
4-3-3
Torpedo Zhodino
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
ML Vitebsk
Torpedo Zhodino
Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Belarus)
Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Belarus)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
ML Vitebsk
4-3-3
1 P. Pavlyuchenko
22 Y. Skibskiy
20 Z. Volkov
6 K. Gomanov
45 I. Moskalenchik
8 S. Gnaka
15 V. Bocherov
27 A. Mesarović
10 D. Cleonise
80 A. Kontsevoy
12 R. Bosić
Coach · Juan Díaz
Substitutes
30 · Pavel Shcherbachenya
3 · N. Baranok
5 · M. Mohammadi
7 · T. Ivanov
4 · A. Ode
55 · V. Gromyko
23 · S. Balanovich
90 · I. Grudko
99 · M. Bulanov
Torpedo Zhodino
4-3-3
25 T. Yurasov
30 V. Pobudey
3 Yevhen Chagovets
13 A. Zaleskiy
96 V. Melko
68 D. Zhulpa
6 K. Premudrov
7 A. Bykov
11 A. Lomovitskiy
89 A. Frantsuzov
10 T. Sharkovskiy
Coach · Denis Karolik
Substitutes
47 · V. Nalivayko
28 · D. Yusov
9 · G. Petrosyan
27 · M. Gaevoy
14 · M. Ladutko
66 · A. Ageev
4 · V. Manaev
99 · M. Maslennikov
20 · G. Martjanov
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
ML Vitebsk
4-3-3
1 P. Pavlyuchenko
22 Y. Skibskiy
20 Z. Volkov
6 K. Gomanov
45 I. Moskalenchik
8 S. Gnaka
15 V. Bocherov
27 A. Mesarović
10 D. Cleonise
80 A. Kontsevoy
12 R. Bosić
Coach · Juan Díaz
Substitutes
30 · Pavel Shcherbachenya
3 · N. Baranok
5 · M. Mohammadi
7 · T. Ivanov
4 · A. Ode
55 · V. Gromyko
23 · S. Balanovich
90 · I. Grudko
99 · M. Bulanov
Torpedo Zhodino
4-3-3
25 T. Yurasov
30 V. Pobudey
3 Yevhen Chagovets
13 A. Zaleskiy
96 V. Melko
68 D. Zhulpa
6 K. Premudrov
7 A. Bykov
11 A. Lomovitskiy
89 A. Frantsuzov
10 T. Sharkovskiy
Coach · Denis Karolik
Substitutes
47 · V. Nalivayko
28 · D. Yusov
9 · G. Petrosyan
27 · M. Gaevoy
14 · M. Ladutko
66 · A. Ageev
4 · V. Manaev
99 · M. Maslennikov
20 · G. Martjanov
We make ML Vitebsk a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 65% to 72% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk win | 60% | 72% | −12 |
| Draw | 22% | 19% | +3 |
| Torpedo Zhodino win | 18% | 9% | +9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 37% | +11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 72% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 30% | −1 |
| ML Vitebsk or draw | 82% | 91% | −9 |
| ML Vitebsk clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Torpedo Zhodino clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 24 Aug
ML VITEBSK
TORPEDO ZHODINO
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 22 | +29 | 47 |
| 2 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 23 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | +22 | 46 |
| 4 | Neman | 24 | +11 | 43 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | +16 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 24 | +7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 23 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | −4 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 24 | −17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 24 | −18 | 23 |
| 13 | Bate Borisov | 24 | −12 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina | 23 | −17 | 21 |
| 15 | Naftan | 24 | −31 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | −17 | 16 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Minsk
Neman
Dinamo Brest
FC Gomel
FC Vitebsk
FC Minsk
Slavia Mozyr
Baranovichi
Arsenal
Bate Borisov
Belshina
Naftan
FC Dnepr Mogilev