FC Minsk v Baranovichi

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Minsk win at 54%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: FC Minsk was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–23–23
3. 2′KICK-OFF FC Minsk v Baranovichi
4. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' FC Minsk win: 54% at kick-off, 44% now
5. 43′42′: Martin Artyukh on the scoresheet for Baranovichi. 0–0 · 43–36–21
6. 43′We said FC Minsk at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–27–57
7. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' FC Minsk 0–1 Baranovichi · Martin Artyukh (assist Fedor lebedev)
8. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' FC Minsk win: 54% at kick-off, 16% now
9. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Baranovichi win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was FC Minsk win 43%)
10. 44′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 16–27–58
11. 45′HALF-TIME FC Minsk 0–1 Baranovichi
12. 46′We said FC Minsk at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
13. 46′SECOND HALF FC Minsk 0–2 Baranovichi
14. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' FC Minsk 0–2 Baranovichi
15. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' FC Minsk win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
16. 47′Baranovichi ahead on 46′ through Fedor lebedev. 0–2. 0–2 · 4–11–86
17. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' FC Minsk · On: llya Sviridenko · Off: Artem Sokol
18. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 55' FC Minsk · On: Felix Christanval Abena · Off: Ilya Dubinets Corrected
19. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Gregoy Abdul · FC Minsk
20. 68′stanislav matusevich scores for FC Minsk on 68′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 6–23–72
21. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' FC Minsk · On: stanislav matusevich · Off: Aleksandr Ksenofontov
22. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' FC Minsk · On: Arseni Migdalenok · Off: Honore Gomis
23. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' FC Minsk 1–2 Baranovichi · stanislav matusevich
24. 69′We said FC Minsk at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 1–2 · 5–22–72
25. 70′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 5–22–73
26. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Baranovichi · On: Zakhar Gitselev · Off: Fedor lebedev
27. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Baranovichi · On: E. Torekul · Off: Artem Petrenko
28. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Baranovichi · On: Yegor Lapun · Off: Alibi Tuzakbayev
29. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' FC Minsk · On: Egor Zubovich · Off: Ilya Dubinets
30. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Baranovichi · On: Maksym·Shevchenko · Off: Mikhail Bondarenko
31. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Baranovichi · On: Valeriy·Potorocha · Off: Martin Artyukh
32. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Felix Christanval Abena · FC Minsk
33. 89′88′: E. Torekul on the scoresheet for Baranovichi, making it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
34. 89′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–0–100
35. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' FC Minsk 1–3 Baranovichi · E. Torekul (penalty)
36. FTFULL TIME FC Minsk 1–3 Baranovichi
37. FTFC Minsk 1–3 Baranovichi · FC Minsk win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.