FC Isloch Minsk R. v FC Minsk

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Isloch Minsk R. win at 57%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: FC Isloch Minsk R. was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–24–20
3. 2′KICK-OFF FC Isloch Minsk R. v FC Minsk
4. 7′FC Isloch Minsk R. find the net on 7′. 0–0 · 55–25–20
5. 8′8′: llya Sviridenko puts it into the FC Minsk net. 0–0 · 55–25–20
6. 10′We published FC Isloch Minsk R. at 57%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–14–6
7. 10′⚽ GOAL · 8' FC Isloch Minsk R. 1–0 FC Minsk · llya Sviridenko (own goal)
8. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' FC Isloch Minsk R. win: 57% at kick-off, 80% now
9. 12′Adeola Junior Adeyemi Olaleye scores for FC Isloch Minsk R. on 12′. 1–0 · 80–14–6
10. 13′We published FC Isloch Minsk R. at 57%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–0 · 94–4–1
11. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–0 FC Minsk · Adeola Junior Adeyemi Olaleye (assist Pavel Shevchenko)
12. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' FC Isloch Minsk R. win: 57% at kick-off, 94% now
13. 19′We published FC Isloch Minsk R. at 57%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
14. 25′25′: Matar Dieye on the scoresheet for FC Minsk. 2–0 · 95–4–1
15. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–1 FC Minsk · Matar Dieye (assist Ilya Dubinets)
16. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' FC Isloch Minsk R. win: 57% at kick-off, 81% now
17. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' artem turich · FC Minsk
18. 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 81–14–5
19. 45′HALF-TIME FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–1 FC Minsk
20. 46′SECOND HALF FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–1 FC Minsk
21. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' llya Sviridenko · FC Minsk
22. 61′We published FC Isloch Minsk R. at 57%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
23. 61′Matar Dieye scores for FC Minsk on 61′. 2–1 · 85–13–2
24. 62′We said FC Isloch Minsk R. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 33–52–15
25. 62′⚽ GOAL · 61' FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–2 FC Minsk · Matar Dieye
26. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' FC Isloch Minsk R. win: 57% at kick-off, 33% now
27. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was FC Isloch Minsk R. win 33%)
28. 63′4 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 32–53–15
29. 67′We said FC Isloch Minsk R. at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–57–14
30. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' FC Isloch Minsk R. win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
31. 71′70′: Maksim Kovalevich on the scoresheet for FC Isloch Minsk R.. 2–2 · 26–62–12
32. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' FC Minsk · On: Gleb·Zherder · Off: Aleksandr Ksenofontov
33. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' FC Minsk · On: V. Dikhtievsky · Off: Vladislav Yatskevich
34. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' FC Minsk · On: Felix Christanval Abena · Off: Ilya Dubinets
35. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' FC Isloch Minsk R. · On: aleksandr butko · Off: Anton Shramchenko
36. 72′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 88–11–1
37. 72′⚽ GOAL · 70' FC Isloch Minsk R. 3–2 FC Minsk · Maksim Kovalevich
38. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' FC Isloch Minsk R. win: 57% at kick-off, 88% now
39. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' FC Isloch Minsk R. win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
40. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Ilya Skrobotov · FC Isloch Minsk R.
41. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' FC Minsk · On: Egor Zubovich · Off: Honore Gomis
42. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' FC Minsk · On: Alexander Makas · Off: Matar Dieye Corrected
43. 81′aleksandr butko scores for FC Isloch Minsk R. on 81′. 3–2 · 93–7–0
44. 82′We published FC Isloch Minsk R. at 57%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
45. 82′6 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 100–0–0
46. 82′⚽ GOAL · 81' FC Isloch Minsk R. 4–2 FC Minsk · aleksandr butko
47. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' FC Isloch Minsk R. win: 57% at kick-off, over 99% now
48. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' FC Isloch Minsk R. · On: sergi abramishvili · Off: Aleksandr Svirepa
49. FTFULL TIME FC Isloch Minsk R. 4–2 FC Minsk
50. FTFC Isloch Minsk R. 4–2 FC Minsk · FC Isloch Minsk R. win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.