Dinamo Minsk v Neman prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dinamo MinskDrawNeman

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dinamo Minsk 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dinamo Minsk are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Minsk 50%, draw 27%, Neman 23%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Minsk v NemanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Minsk win50%

Draw27%

Neman win23%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 27

VenueStadion Dinamo

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Minsk

Neman

7Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · Premier League (Belarus)

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Belarus)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Dinamo Minsk	25	+27	55
5	Neman	25	+10	43

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dinamo minsk winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Dinamo Minsk a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dinamo Minsk v Neman~~1.41 – 0.84

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 6 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 55 v 43~~2 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Minsk win	50%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Neman win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Dinamo Minsk or draw	77%	–	–
Dinamo Minsk clean sheet	44%	–	–
Neman clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.2%

0123450 10.7 9.2 3.8 1 15.2 11.9 5.1 2 10.4 8.5 3.6 3 4.9 4.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Minsk down, Neman across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,369 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.3% of games this season, across 203 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dinamo Minsk at home: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Neman away: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Dinamo Minsk, 0.84 for Neman. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~NEM 1–3 DIN · NEM 0–0 DIN · DIN 0–1 NEM · DIN 0–2 NEM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 6 Sept

DINAMO MINSK

LWWWWW0–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 2–1

NEMAN

DWWWWL2–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	ML Vitebsk	25	+34	56
2	Dinamo Minsk	25	+27	55
3	FC Isloch Minsk R.	25	+27	52
4	Dinamo Brest	25	+16	44
5	Neman	25	+10	43
6	FC Vitebsk	26	+6	40
7	FC Gomel	26	+10	40
8	FC Minsk	26	−3	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	25	−1	33
10	Slavia Mozyr	25	−4	28
11	Baranovichi	26	−16	28
12	Belshina	25	−18	24
13	Arsenal	25	−20	23
14	Bate Borisov	26	−14	21
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	25	−16	19
16	Naftan	26	−38	17