Belshina v Slavia Mozyr

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Slavia Mozyr win at 47%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: Slavia Mozyr was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 28–26–47
3. 2′KICK-OFF Belshina v Slavia Mozyr
4. 18′We said Slavia Mozyr at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 56–24–19
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Belshina 1–0 Slavia Mozyr
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Slavia Mozyr win: 47% at kick-off, 19% now
7. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Belshina win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Slavia Mozyr win 44%)
8. 19′Arseni Achapovskiy scores for Belshina on 17′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 56–24–19
9. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Slavia Mozyr win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 59–25–16
11. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Belshina 1–1 Slavia Mozyr
12. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Slavia Mozyr win: 47% at kick-off, 40% now
13. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Slavia Mozyr win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Belshina win 60%)
14. 36′35′: Kirill Chernook on the scoresheet for Slavia Mozyr, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 25–35–39
15. 38′We said Slavia Mozyr at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 61–25–14
16. 38′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 61–25–14
17. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Belshina 2–1 Slavia Mozyr
18. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Slavia Mozyr win: 47% at kick-off, 14% now
19. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Belshina win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Slavia Mozyr win 39%)
20. 39′Belshina ahead on 37′ through Arseni Achapovskiy. 2–1. 2–1 · 61–25–14
21. 43′SUBSTITUTION · 42' Slavia Mozyr · On: Evgeni Shevchenko · Off: Aleksandr Derzhinskiy
22. 45′HALF-TIME Belshina 2–1 Slavia Mozyr
23. 46′SECOND HALF Belshina 2–1 Slavia Mozyr
24. 52′We said Slavia Mozyr at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 66–24–9
25. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Slavia Mozyr win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
26. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Slavia Mozyr · On: Terentiy Lutsevich · Off: Pavel·Chikida
27. 61′Slavia Mozyr have had 8 attempts to 0 and it is still 2–1. 2–1 · 71–23–7
28. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Ivan Bionchik · Slavia Mozyr
29. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Andrey Solovey · Slavia Mozyr
30. 63′We said Slavia Mozyr at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 2–2 · 19–53–28
31. 63′4 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 19–53–28
32. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Belshina 2–2 Slavia Mozyr
33. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Slavia Mozyr win: 47% at kick-off, 28% now
34. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Belshina win 71%)
35. 64′Aleksey Antilevski scores for Slavia Mozyr on 62′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 19–54–27
36. 69′We said Slavia Mozyr at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 17–60–24
37. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Belshina · On: Nikita Sokolovskiy · Off: Nikita Golub
38. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Slavia Mozyr · On: Andrei Shemruk · Off: Aleksey Antilevski
39. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Slavia Mozyr · On: Aleksandr Batichev · Off: Dimitri Yashin
40. 76′We published Slavia Mozyr at 47%. Our model now makes it 87%. 2–3 · 1–12–87
41. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Belshina 2–3 Slavia Mozyr
42. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Slavia Mozyr win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
43. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Slavia Mozyr win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 68%)
44. 77′75′: Evgeni Shevchenko on the scoresheet for Slavia Mozyr, making it 2–3. 2–3 · 1–11–88
45. 77′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 1–11–88
46. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Belshina · On: Nikita Nekrasov · Off: Pavel Seleznev
47. 80′We published Slavia Mozyr at 47%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–3 · 1–9–90
48. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Belshina · On: V Kovalev · Off: Yuri Kozlov
49. 86′We published Slavia Mozyr at 47%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–4 · 0–0–100
50. 86′Slavia Mozyr ahead on 86′ through Andrey Solovey. 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–100
51. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Belshina 2–4 Slavia Mozyr
52. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Slavia Mozyr win: 47% at kick-off, over 99% now
53. 87′6 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–0–100
54. FTFULL TIME Belshina 2–4 Slavia Mozyr
55. FTBelshina 2–4 Slavia Mozyr · Slavia Mozyr win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.